TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12392377
Played Aug 10Finished
Miloslav Ullman
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
116311711911––
Michal Makara
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:05 and never touched — 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeMichal Makara to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingMiloslav Ullman above · Michal Makara below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 69 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Michal Makara at 60.7%
69 points played in total.
H2H Miloslav Ullman 21–21 Michal Makara Dead even across their 42 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:05What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Makara
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-21 in 42
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ullman 1608 vs Makara 1704
Makara
Correct
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ullman 40% vs Makara 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ullman 30% vs Makara 60%
Makara
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ullman -1 · Makara -3
Makara
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Makara) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Makara form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUllman 2.00 / Makara 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Makara)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #12392377
Ullman2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 41 of 113
Down 0–1, comes back21% 12 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Makara1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 31 of 59
Up 2–0, closes it91% 19 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it69% 24 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUllman4wins
AwayMakara6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderMakara leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUllman33.3%2 of 6
AwayMakara50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ullman6Makara4n = 10Ullman took 6 of 10
S2Ullman3Makara7n = 10Makara took 7 of 10
S3Ullman5Makara5n = 10split evenly
S4Ullman6Makara4n = 10Ullman took 6 of 10
S5Ullman2Makara4n = 6Makara took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricUllmanMakaraU − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.641.5+1.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUllmanMakaraBasisWin rate · lifetime198 / 423 vs 469 / 96546.8%48.6%198 / 423 vs 469 / 965Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.139.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MakaraUllman 2.00/Makara 1.73
Hit
What we said
55.7%
Makara · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Makara won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 9 · 05:15M. Ullman—11481172M. Makara—511117113
LJul 8 · 08:28M. Ullman—411891M. Makara—11211113
WJul 8 · 07:30M. Ullman—811118113M. Makara—11771152
LJun 30 · 05:15M. Ullman—129141192M. Makara—1011162113
LJun 15 · 05:45M. Ullman—11691162M. Makara—611115113
LJun 5 · 20:58M. Ullman—118841M. Makara—71111113
WJun 5 · 18:00M. Ullman—4111114113M. Makara—11881662
WMay 12 · 17:30M. Ullman—13711113M. Makara—1111881
LApr 12 · 10:30M. Ullman—89111182M. Makara—111194113
WApr 11 · 11:45M. Ullman—1171163M. Makara—611551
M. Ullman10
LSep 2 · 20:48R. Pisa1.8311129113M. Ullman1.833101191LSep 2 · 19:15M. Ullman2.10911101172S. Rejent1.67116124113WSep 2 · 18:15M. Ullman1.831191112113R. Pisa1.8391161462WSep 2 · 17:15M. Ullman1.73711511113J. Dolezal2.0011611682WAug 27 · 08:18P. Fencl1.73917781M. Ullman2.00111511113LAug 27 · 07:15M. Ullman1.7311148392M. Vyskocil2.009121111113LAug 27 · 06:15M. Ullman1.83713118112V. Grubr1.831111411133LAug 27 · 05:15M. Ullman1.738480P. Fencl2.001111113WAug 10 · 08:43M. Makara1.7311711422M. Ullman2.00811611113LAug 10 · 06:15L. Rulc1.73811712113M. Ullman2.00115111062
M. Makara10
WSep 4 · 12:29M. Makara2.101211113V. Burylov1.6710940LSep 4 · 12:00M. Makara2.006650L. Adam1.731111113LSep 4 · 10:30V. Burylov1.611171114113M. Makara2.2061171692LSep 4 · 10:00M. Kocvara1.731113123M. Makara2.00611100WSep 3 · 08:14L. Heinzl1.6781181182M. Makara2.10116113113LSep 3 · 07:15L. Adam1.731151211113M. Makara2.0091114772LSep 3 · 06:45M. Makara2.6311970M. Stibor1.441311113LSep 3 · 05:45M. Makara2.201131191L. Heinzl1.6113119113LSep 1 · 08:21M. Makara2.7551211472M. Kocvara1.401110911113LAug 10 · 08:43M. Makara1.7311711422M. Ullman2.00811611113
Upcoming Matches
M. Ullman
Nothing scheduled
M. Makara
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