TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13029224
Played Aug 27Finished
Pavel Fencl
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111715711811––
Miloslav Ullman
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingPavel Fencl above · Miloslav Ullman below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 17-15
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 89 set 4, 8-11
89 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Fencl 4–5 Miloslav Ullman Pavel Fencl has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fencl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ullman form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFencl 1.73 / Ullman 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Fencl)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13029224
Fencl1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Ullman2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 39 of 104
Down 0–1, comes back25% 13 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeFencl4wins
AwayUllman5wins
4 of 9 to a deciderUllman leads 5–4, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFencl75%3 of 4
AwayUllman80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fencl4Ullman5n = 9Ullman took 5 of 9
S2Fencl9Ullman0n = 9Fencl took 9 of 9
S3Fencl4Ullman5n = 9Ullman took 5 of 9
S4Fencl2Ullman5n = 7Ullman took 5 of 7
S5Fencl1Ullman3n = 4Ullman took 3 of 4
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away333%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricFenclUllmanF − UBasisWins45−1in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match41.237.4+3.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFenclUllmanBasisWin rate · lifetime42 / 86 vs 189 / 40548.8%46.7%42 / 86 vs 189 / 405Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FenclFencl 1.73/Ullman 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Fencl · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ullman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 27 · 05:15P. Fencl—1111113M. Ullman—8480
WJul 8 · 05:30P. Fencl—1011119113M. Ullman—12541122
WJun 30 · 08:13P. Fencl—11118113M. Ullman—571181
LJun 30 · 07:15P. Fencl—411881M. Ullman—11811113
LJun 16 · 06:15P. Fencl—51181172M. Ullman—113119113
WAug 23 · 07:15P. Fencl—1114113M. Ullman—21270
LMay 3 · 11:45P. Fencl—1011861M. Ullman—12411113
LApr 21 · 08:28P. Fencl—1111117132M. Ullman—139511153
LApr 21 · 07:00P. Fencl—12139772M. Ullman—10111111113
P. Fencl10
WSep 4 · 08:19J. Senk2.107960P. Fencl1.671111113WSep 4 · 07:15P. Fencl1.7311811113J. Senk2.00911781LSep 4 · 06:15P. Fencl2.201111115102M. Vyskocil1.61613911123LSep 4 · 05:15P. Fencl1.8011111010102T. Liska1.91761212123LAug 27 · 07:45V. Grubr2.1041115113P. Fencl1.671171341LAug 27 · 06:45M. Vyskocil1.9181111113P. Fencl1.80118331WAug 27 · 05:15M. Ullman1.738480P. Fencl2.001111113WAug 17 · 08:13P. Fencl2.101111113J. Rochowanski1.676920LAug 17 · 07:15J. Rochowanski1.73591211113P. Fencl2.00111110392LAug 17 · 06:45P. Fencl2.50761181L. Rulc1.5011116113
M. Ullman10
LSep 2 · 20:48R. Pisa1.8311129113M. Ullman1.833101191LSep 2 · 19:15M. Ullman2.10911101172S. Rejent1.67116124113WSep 2 · 18:15M. Ullman1.831191112113R. Pisa1.8391161462WSep 2 · 17:15M. Ullman1.73711511113J. Dolezal2.0011611682LAug 27 · 07:15M. Ullman1.7311148392M. Vyskocil2.009121111113LAug 27 · 06:15M. Ullman1.83713118112V. Grubr1.831111411133LAug 27 · 05:15M. Ullman1.738480P. Fencl2.001111113WAug 10 · 08:43M. Makara1.7311711422M. Ullman2.00811611113LAug 10 · 07:45M. Ullman2.00113791M. Makara1.7361111113LAug 10 · 06:15L. Rulc1.73811712113M. Ullman2.00115111062
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