TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13076315
Played Sep 4Finished
Jakub Senk
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711911611––––
Pavel Fencl
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJakub Senk above · Pavel Fencl below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 55 set 3, 6-11
55 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Senk 1–2 Pavel Fencl Jakub Senk has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Fencl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fencl form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSenk 2.10 / Fencl 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Fencl)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13076315
Senk2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog52% won 27 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back53% 16 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back31% 4 of 13
Fencl1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSenk1wins
AwayFencl2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderFencl leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Senk1Fencl2n = 3Fencl took 2 of 3
S2Senk1Fencl2n = 3Fencl took 2 of 3
S3Senk1Fencl2n = 3Fencl took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricSenkFenclS − FBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match35.339.7−4.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSenkFenclBasisWin rate · lifetime147 / 281 vs 39 / 8252.3%47.6%147 / 281 vs 39 / 82Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.439.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FenclSenk 2.10/Fencl 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Fencl · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Fencl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 4 · 07:15J. Senk—911781P. Fencl—11811113
WAug 9 · 12:45J. Senk—139116103P. Fencl—111151172
LAug 9 · 11:45J. Senk—8680P. Fencl—1111113
J. Senk10
LSep 5 · 20:13J. Senk2.10411491L. Veigl1.6711711113LSep 5 · 19:45J. Senk2.755820J. Sr1.401111113LSep 5 · 18:15L. Veigl1.801111113J. Senk1.917890LSep 5 · 17:45O. Mezera2.00115811113J. Senk1.7341111862LSep 4 · 07:15P. Fencl1.7311811113J. Senk2.00911781LSep 4 · 06:45J. Senk2.207990T. Liska1.611111113LSep 4 · 05:45J. Senk1.7311860M. Vyskocil2.001311113LAug 23 · 12:53R. Pisa1.7311119113J. Senk2.00571191WAug 23 · 11:15O. Mezera2.2019760J. Senk1.612111113WAug 23 · 10:45J. Senk2.5011116113M. Kocvara1.50781131
P. Fencl10
WSep 4 · 07:15P. Fencl1.7311811113J. Senk2.00911781LSep 4 · 06:15P. Fencl2.201111115102M. Vyskocil1.61613911123LSep 4 · 05:15P. Fencl1.8011111010102T. Liska1.91761212123LAug 27 · 08:18P. Fencl1.73917781M. Ullman2.00111511113LAug 27 · 07:45V. Grubr2.1041115113P. Fencl1.671171341LAug 27 · 06:45M. Vyskocil1.9181111113P. Fencl1.80118331WAug 27 · 05:15M. Ullman1.738480P. Fencl2.001111113WAug 17 · 08:13P. Fencl2.101111113J. Rochowanski1.676920LAug 17 · 07:15J. Rochowanski1.73591211113P. Fencl2.00111110392LAug 17 · 06:45P. Fencl2.50761181L. Rulc1.5011116113
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