TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073075
Played Sep 4Finished
Volodymyr Burylov
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1167111171416119
Michal Makara
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:08 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Burylov to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Burylov above · Michal Makara below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 14-16
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 103 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Volodymyr Burylov at 58.9%
103 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Burylov 7–7 Michal Makara Dead even across their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:08What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Burylov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-7 in 14
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Burylov 1733 vs Makara 1678
Burylov
Correct
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Burylov 60% vs Makara 20%
Burylov
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Burylov 60% vs Makara 40%
Burylov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Burylov -1 · Makara +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Burylov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Makara form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBurylov 1.61 / Makara 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Burylov)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13073075
Burylov1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite46% won 44 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it66% 29 of 44
Makara2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 175 of 382
Down 0–1, comes back25% 49 of 196
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 87
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBurylov5wins
AwayMakara5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBurylov71.4%5 of 7
AwayMakara100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Burylov7Makara3n = 10Burylov took 7 of 10
S2Burylov3Makara7n = 10Makara took 7 of 10
S3Burylov7Makara3n = 10Burylov took 7 of 10
S4Burylov3Makara5n = 8Makara took 5 of 8
S5Burylov1Makara2n = 3Makara took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBurylovMakaraB − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.737.0+3.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBurylovMakaraBasisWin rate · lifetime193 / 385 vs 496 / 103150.1%48.1%193 / 385 vs 496 / 1031Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.739.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BurylovBurylov 1.61/Makara 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Burylov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Burylov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 06:45V. Burylov—1115113M. Makara—51350
LAug 31 · 08:54V. Burylov—91380M. Makara—1115113
LAug 31 · 06:45V. Burylov—1179101M. Makara—81111123
LAug 30 · 19:45V. Burylov—101111892M. Makara—126411113
WAug 29 · 17:45V. Burylov—129119113M. Makara—101141152
WAug 23 · 16:43V. Burylov—11611113M. Makara—311491
LAug 23 · 15:45V. Burylov—1112971M. Makara—131011113
WJul 26 · 12:19V. Burylov—11611113M. Makara—411891
LJul 26 · 10:15V. Burylov—11411892M. Makara—611411113
WJul 5 · 08:48V. Burylov—11911113M. Makara—911881
V. Burylov10
WSep 6 · 17:00V. Burylov1.831111113D. Gasparovic1.838860WSep 6 · 15:45J. Chalupa1.80111011992V. Burylov1.91812911113WSep 6 · 14:45D. Gasparovic1.73136128112V. Burylov2.0011111011133LSep 6 · 13:15S. Rejent1.91691111153V. Burylov1.80111168132WSep 4 · 20:23V. Burylov1.7311911113A. Snr2.00611891WSep 4 · 19:45J. Sr1.9111117662V. Burylov1.80531111113LSep 4 · 18:45D. Gasparovic1.73111110143V. Burylov2.006912121LSep 4 · 12:29M. Makara2.101211113V. Burylov1.6710940LSep 4 · 11:30V. Burylov1.80991181M. Kocvara1.9111113113LSep 4 · 09:30V. Burylov1.801141151L. Adam1.9181113113
M. Makara10
WSep 4 · 12:29M. Makara2.101211113V. Burylov1.6710940LSep 4 · 12:00M. Makara2.006650L. Adam1.731111113LSep 4 · 10:00M. Kocvara1.731113123M. Makara2.00611100WSep 3 · 08:14L. Heinzl1.6781181182M. Makara2.10116113113LSep 3 · 07:15L. Adam1.731151211113M. Makara2.0091114772LSep 3 · 06:45M. Makara2.6311970M. Stibor1.441311113LSep 3 · 05:45M. Makara2.201131191L. Heinzl1.6113119113LSep 1 · 08:21M. Makara2.7551211472M. Kocvara1.401110911113WSep 1 · 07:15M. Kocvara1.6711891172M. Makara2.10911118113LSep 1 · 06:45M. Makara1.8351350V. Burylov1.831115113
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