TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13054651
Played Sep 1Finished
Michal Makara
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5111315511––––
Volodymyr Burylov
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:18 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Makara to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMichal Makara above · Volodymyr Burylov below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 13-15
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 60 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Michal Makara at 54.0%
60 points played in total.
H2H Michal Makara 7–7 Volodymyr Burylov Dead even across their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:18What took a side0 for · 2 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Burylov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-7 in 14
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Makara 1688 vs Burylov 1746
Burylov
Correct
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Makara 60% vs Burylov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Makara 60% vs Burylov 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Makara -1 · Burylov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Burylov) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMakara 1.83 / Burylov 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Burylov)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13054651
Makara1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Burylov1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMakara5wins
AwayBurylov5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMakara100%3 of 3
AwayBurylov71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Makara3Burylov7n = 10Burylov took 7 of 10
S2Makara7Burylov3n = 10Makara took 7 of 10
S3Makara3Burylov7n = 10Burylov took 7 of 10
S4Makara5Burylov3n = 8Makara took 5 of 8
S5Makara2Burylov1n = 3Makara took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMakaraBurylovM − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.040.7−3.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMakaraBurylovBasisWin rate · lifetime495 / 1028 vs 193 / 38448.2%50.3%495 / 1028 vs 193 / 384Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.339.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BurylovMakara 1.83/Burylov 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Burylov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Burylov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 06:45M. Makara—51350V. Burylov—1115113
WAug 31 · 08:54M. Makara—1115113V. Burylov—91380
WAug 31 · 06:45M. Makara—81111123V. Burylov—1179101
WAug 30 · 19:45M. Makara—126411113V. Burylov—101111892
LAug 29 · 17:45M. Makara—101141152V. Burylov—129119113
LAug 23 · 16:43M. Makara—311491V. Burylov—11611113
WAug 23 · 15:45M. Makara—131011113V. Burylov—1112971
LJul 26 · 12:19M. Makara—411891V. Burylov—11611113
WJul 26 · 10:15M. Makara—611411113V. Burylov—11411892
LJul 5 · 08:48M. Makara—911881V. Burylov—11911113
M. Makara10
WSep 4 · 12:29M. Makara2.101211113V. Burylov1.6710940LSep 4 · 12:00M. Makara2.006650L. Adam1.731111113LSep 4 · 10:30V. Burylov1.611171114113M. Makara2.2061171692LSep 4 · 10:00M. Kocvara1.731113123M. Makara2.00611100WSep 3 · 08:14L. Heinzl1.6781181182M. Makara2.10116113113LSep 3 · 07:15L. Adam1.731151211113M. Makara2.0091114772LSep 3 · 06:45M. Makara2.6311970M. Stibor1.441311113LSep 3 · 05:45M. Makara2.201131191L. Heinzl1.6113119113LSep 1 · 08:21M. Makara2.7551211472M. Kocvara1.401110911113WSep 1 · 07:15M. Kocvara1.6711891172M. Makara2.10911118113
V. Burylov10
WSep 6 · 17:00V. Burylov1.831111113D. Gasparovic1.838860WSep 6 · 15:45J. Chalupa1.80111011992V. Burylov1.91812911113WSep 6 · 14:45D. Gasparovic1.73136128112V. Burylov2.0011111011133LSep 6 · 13:15S. Rejent1.91691111153V. Burylov1.80111168132WSep 4 · 20:23V. Burylov1.7311911113A. Snr2.00611891WSep 4 · 19:45J. Sr1.9111117662V. Burylov1.80531111113LSep 4 · 18:45D. Gasparovic1.73111110143V. Burylov2.006912121LSep 4 · 12:29M. Makara2.101211113V. Burylov1.6710940LSep 4 · 11:30V. Burylov1.80991181M. Kocvara1.9111113113WSep 4 · 10:30V. Burylov1.611171114113M. Makara2.2061171692
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