TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084329
Played Sep 6Finished
David Gasparovic
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
131161112108111113
Volodymyr Burylov
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:58 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeDavid Gasparovic to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDavid Gasparovic above · Volodymyr Burylov below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 106 set 5, 11-13 — our read held David Gasparovic at 54.1%
106 points played in total.
H2H David Gasparovic 6–8 Volodymyr Burylov David Gasparovic has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:58What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Gasparovic
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-8 in 14
Burylov
Correct
gap of 2 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gasparovic 1679 vs Burylov 1767
Burylov
Correct
both rated, 88 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gasparovic 40% vs Burylov 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gasparovic 50% vs Burylov 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gasparovic +1 · Burylov -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gasparovic)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gasparovic form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGasparovic 1.73 / Burylov 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Gasparovic)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13084329
Gasparovic1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 53 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it83% 20 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it76% 35 of 46
Burylov2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog54% won 52 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back37% 18 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back24% 6 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGasparovic4wins
AwayBurylov6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBurylov leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGasparovic60%3 of 5
AwayBurylov80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gasparovic5Burylov5n = 10split evenly
S2Gasparovic6Burylov4n = 10Gasparovic took 6 of 10
S3Gasparovic4Burylov6n = 10Burylov took 6 of 10
S4Gasparovic3Burylov4n = 7Burylov took 4 of 7
S5Gasparovic1Burylov3n = 4Burylov took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGasparovicBurylovG − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.841.80.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGasparovicBurylovBasisWin rate · lifetime101 / 169 vs 199 / 39559.8%50.4%101 / 169 vs 199 / 395Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.039.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GasparovicGasparovic 1.73/Burylov 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Gasparovic · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Burylov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 17:00D. Gasparovic—8860V. Burylov—1111113
LSep 6 · 14:45D. Gasparovic—136128112V. Burylov—11111011133
WSep 4 · 18:45D. Gasparovic—111110143V. Burylov—6912121
WAug 29 · 10:15D. Gasparovic—911118113V. Burylov—11991182
LAug 23 · 13:45D. Gasparovic—11114882V. Burylov—871111113
LAug 22 · 13:15D. Gasparovic—10980V. Burylov—1211113
WJul 19 · 13:09D. Gasparovic—111217113V. Burylov—4141541
LJul 19 · 10:30D. Gasparovic—9111011152V. Burylov—115128173
LJul 17 · 13:30D. Gasparovic—8117141V. Burylov—11711163
WJul 10 · 17:15D. Gasparovic—1211113V. Burylov—10780
D. Gasparovic10
LSep 6 · 17:00V. Burylov1.831111113D. Gasparovic1.838860WSep 6 · 15:15S. Rejent2.63511951D. Gasparovic1.4411611113WSep 6 · 13:45D. Gasparovic2.1081111113J. Chalupa1.67116791LSep 5 · 08:29J. Chalupa1.61121211133D. Gasparovic2.20101013111LSep 5 · 07:15M. Zelinka2.001171312123D. Gasparovic1.739111114102LSep 5 · 06:45D. Gasparovic2.20911521J. Chalupa1.6111711113WSep 5 · 05:45D. Gasparovic1.361111113L. Veigl3.003930LSep 4 · 20:53J. Sr1.7311118113D. Gasparovic2.00761121WSep 4 · 19:15A. Snr2.50751191D. Gasparovic1.5011117113WSep 4 · 18:45D. Gasparovic1.73111110143V. Burylov2.006912121
V. Burylov10
WSep 6 · 17:00V. Burylov1.831111113D. Gasparovic1.838860WSep 6 · 15:45J. Chalupa1.80111011992V. Burylov1.91812911113LSep 6 · 13:15S. Rejent1.91691111153V. Burylov1.80111168132WSep 4 · 20:23V. Burylov1.7311911113A. Snr2.00611891WSep 4 · 19:45J. Sr1.9111117662V. Burylov1.80531111113LSep 4 · 18:45D. Gasparovic1.73111110143V. Burylov2.006912121LSep 4 · 12:29M. Makara2.101211113V. Burylov1.6710940LSep 4 · 11:30V. Burylov1.80991181M. Kocvara1.9111113113WSep 4 · 10:30V. Burylov1.611171114113M. Makara2.2061171692LSep 4 · 09:30V. Burylov1.801141151L. Adam1.9181113113
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