TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084443
Played Sep 6Finished
Stepan Rejent
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
6119111161181513
Volodymyr Burylov
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Burylov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingStepan Rejent above · Volodymyr Burylov below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 15-13
Point 101 set 5, 15-13 — our read held Volodymyr Burylov at 54.0%
101 points played in total.
H2H Stepan Rejent 3–3 Volodymyr Burylov Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:29What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Burylov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rejent 1643 vs Burylov 1719
Burylov
Wrong
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rejent 40% vs Burylov 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rejent 40% vs Burylov 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rejent -1 · Burylov +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Burylov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Burylov form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRejent 1.91 / Burylov 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Burylov)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13084443
Rejent1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 93 of 225
Down 0–1, comes back24% 31 of 127
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 66
Burylov1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite46% won 47 of 102
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it66% 31 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeRejent3wins
AwayBurylov3wins
1 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRejentn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBurylov75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rejent2Burylov4n = 6Burylov took 4 of 6
S2Rejent4Burylov2n = 6Rejent took 4 of 6
S3Rejent4Burylov2n = 6Rejent took 4 of 6
S4Rejent2Burylov2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricRejentBurylovR − BBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match37.337.7−0.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRejentBurylovBasisWin rate · lifetime365 / 770 vs 196 / 39147.4%50.1%365 / 770 vs 196 / 391Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BurylovRejent 1.91/Burylov 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Burylov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Rejent won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 23 · 14:15S. Rejent—61111113V. Burylov—119991
WAug 1 · 07:00S. Rejent—11115113V. Burylov—891171
LJul 20 · 14:15S. Rejent—8870V. Burylov—1111113
WMay 20 · 18:15S. Rejent—1313113V. Burylov—111160
LMay 2 · 21:09S. Rejent—1011111372V. Burylov—128915113
LMay 2 · 19:00S. Rejent—871191V. Burylov—11114113
S. Rejent10
LSep 6 · 16:29J. Chalupa1.4411812113S. Rejent2.638111071LSep 6 · 15:15S. Rejent2.63511951D. Gasparovic1.4411611113LSep 6 · 14:15S. Rejent2.634130J. Chalupa1.441111113LSep 3 · 16:48S. Rejent1.504640A. Radkovsky2.501111113WSep 3 · 15:45S. Rejent1.531191111113O. Mezera2.3891141342WSep 3 · 14:15A. Radkovsky2.2059100S. Rejent1.611111123LSep 3 · 13:45J. Sr1.441111113S. Rejent2.635960LSep 2 · 20:20J. Dolezal2.101111011113S. Rejent1.6741112732WSep 2 · 19:15M. Ullman2.10911101172S. Rejent1.67116124113WSep 2 · 18:45S. Rejent1.67111114123J. Dolezal2.1013212101
V. Burylov10
WSep 6 · 17:00V. Burylov1.831111113D. Gasparovic1.838860WSep 6 · 15:45J. Chalupa1.80111011992V. Burylov1.91812911113WSep 6 · 14:45D. Gasparovic1.73136128112V. Burylov2.0011111011133WSep 4 · 20:23V. Burylov1.7311911113A. Snr2.00611891WSep 4 · 19:45J. Sr1.9111117662V. Burylov1.80531111113LSep 4 · 18:45D. Gasparovic1.73111110143V. Burylov2.006912121LSep 4 · 12:29M. Makara2.101211113V. Burylov1.6710940LSep 4 · 11:30V. Burylov1.80991181M. Kocvara1.9111113113WSep 4 · 10:30V. Burylov1.611171114113M. Makara2.2061171692LSep 4 · 09:30V. Burylov1.801141151L. Adam1.9181113113
Upcoming Matches
S. Rejent
V. Burylov
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.