TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073111
Played Sep 4Finished
Volodymyr Burylov
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1184111113511––
Lukas Adam
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:19 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Burylov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVolodymyr Burylov above · Lukas Adam below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 74 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Volodymyr Burylov at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Burylov 8–7 Lukas Adam Lukas Adam has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:19What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Burylov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-7 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Burylov 1746 vs Adam 1716
Burylov
Wrong
both rated, 30 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Burylov 60% vs Adam 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Burylov 60% vs Adam 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Burylov +1 · Adam +3
Adam
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Burylov)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBurylov 1.80 / Adam 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Burylov)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13073111
Burylov1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite46% won 44 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it66% 29 of 44
Adam1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 55 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back23% 14 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBurylov6wins
AwayAdam4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBurylov leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBurylov75%3 of 4
AwayAdam50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Burylov4Adam6n = 10Adam took 6 of 10
S2Burylov4Adam6n = 10Adam took 6 of 10
S3Burylov7Adam3n = 10Burylov took 7 of 10
S4Burylov5Adam5n = 10split evenly
S5Burylov3Adam1n = 4Burylov took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBurylovAdamB − ABasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match43.440.8+2.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBurylovAdamBasisWin rate · lifetime193 / 384 vs 278 / 54350.3%51.2%193 / 384 vs 278 / 543Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.740.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BurylovBurylov 1.80/Adam 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Burylov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Adam won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 22 · 08:28V. Burylov—1211111113L. Adam—14311972
WJul 22 · 05:15V. Burylov—114119113L. Adam—21181172
WMay 25 · 08:48V. Burylov—81111113L. Adam—113441
LMay 25 · 07:45V. Burylov—1110991L. Adam—41211113
WMay 23 · 17:45V. Burylov—111213113L. Adam—9141181
LMay 22 · 17:45V. Burylov—85121262L. Adam—11111010113
WMay 20 · 20:19V. Burylov—117118173L. Adam—211411152
WMay 20 · 17:45V. Burylov—91111113L. Adam—118971
LMar 6 · 07:45V. Burylov—614941L. Adam—111211113
LFeb 25 · 17:43V. Burylov—11101391L. Adam—131211113
V. Burylov10
WSep 6 · 17:00V. Burylov1.831111113D. Gasparovic1.838860WSep 6 · 15:45J. Chalupa1.80111011992V. Burylov1.91812911113WSep 6 · 14:45D. Gasparovic1.73136128112V. Burylov2.0011111011133LSep 6 · 13:15S. Rejent1.91691111153V. Burylov1.80111168132WSep 4 · 20:23V. Burylov1.7311911113A. Snr2.00611891WSep 4 · 19:45J. Sr1.9111117662V. Burylov1.80531111113LSep 4 · 18:45D. Gasparovic1.73111110143V. Burylov2.006912121LSep 4 · 12:29M. Makara2.101211113V. Burylov1.6710940LSep 4 · 11:30V. Burylov1.80991181M. Kocvara1.9111113113WSep 4 · 10:30V. Burylov1.611171114113M. Makara2.2061171692
L. Adam10
LSep 6 · 12:54J. Sr1.611311113L. Adam2.2011760WSep 6 · 11:15O. Mezera2.20811771L. Adam1.6111511113WSep 6 · 10:45L. Adam1.801111113M. Kocvara1.919480LSep 6 · 09:45L. Adam2.104760J. Sr1.671111113WSep 4 · 12:59L. Adam2.201111113M. Kocvara1.617480WSep 4 · 12:00M. Makara2.006650L. Adam1.731111113LSep 4 · 11:00M. Kocvara1.67115211113L. Adam2.1031111742WSep 3 · 08:44M. Stibor1.67681491L. Adam2.10111112113WSep 3 · 07:15L. Adam1.731151211113M. Makara2.0091114772WSep 3 · 06:15L. Adam2.0091111113L. Heinzl1.73113791
Upcoming Matches
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