TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13070428
Played Sep 3Finished
Michal Stibor
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6118111412911––
Lukas Adam
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingMichal Stibor above · Lukas Adam below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 82 set 4, 9-11
82 points played in total.
H2H Michal Stibor 25–21 Lukas Adam Lukas Adam has won 21 of their 46 meetings.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Stibor)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStibor 1.67 / Adam 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Stibor)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13070428
Stibor1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 75 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it84% 46 of 55
Adam2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 53 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back22% 13 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStibor6wins
AwayAdam4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderStibor leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStibor80%4 of 5
AwayAdam60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stibor5Adam5n = 10split evenly
S2Stibor5Adam5n = 10split evenly
S3Stibor6Adam4n = 10Stibor took 6 of 10
S4Stibor6Adam4n = 10Stibor took 6 of 10
S5Stibor3Adam3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStiborAdamS − ABasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match43.140.0+3.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStiborAdamBasisWin rate · lifetime171 / 323 vs 277 / 54252.9%51.1%171 / 323 vs 277 / 542Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.440.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StiborStibor 1.67/Adam 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Stibor · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Adam won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 05:15M. Stibor—117511113L. Adam—21111562
LAug 26 · 05:45M. Stibor—711981L. Adam—11711113
WAug 20 · 07:45M. Stibor—11611113L. Adam—711781
LAug 19 · 09:45M. Stibor—11711892L. Adam—511411113
WJul 28 · 11:45M. Stibor—1411105113L. Adam—126121182
LJul 21 · 06:15M. Stibor—141111322L. Adam—166411113
LJul 14 · 06:30M. Stibor—39111162L. Adam—111166113
WJun 18 · 08:43M. Stibor—861111123L. Adam—111166102
WJun 18 · 07:45M. Stibor—51111113L. Adam—116561
WJun 11 · 07:15M. Stibor—111115113L. Adam—491761
M. Stibor10
WSep 3 · 07:45L. Heinzl1.7381380M. Stibor2.001115113WSep 3 · 06:45M. Makara2.6311970M. Stibor1.441311113WSep 3 · 05:15L. Adam2.1021111562M. Stibor1.67117511113LAug 31 · 12:18M. Vyskocil1.67441111133M. Stibor2.10111199112LAug 31 · 11:15M. Stibor1.738770M. Vyskocil2.001111113WAug 31 · 10:15M. Stibor1.501161111123L. Rulc2.50131197102WAug 31 · 09:15M. Stibor1.501181411113M. Kocvara2.50131112762WAug 26 · 08:23M. Stibor1.4011164113M. Kovarik2.757141191WAug 26 · 07:15M. Kovarik2.5091350M. Stibor1.501115113WAug 26 · 06:45M. Stibor1.61291111113V. Grubr2.2011114862
L. Adam10
LSep 6 · 12:54J. Sr1.611311113L. Adam2.2011760WSep 6 · 11:15O. Mezera2.20811771L. Adam1.6111511113WSep 6 · 10:45L. Adam1.801111113M. Kocvara1.919480LSep 6 · 09:45L. Adam2.104760J. Sr1.671111113WSep 4 · 12:59L. Adam2.201111113M. Kocvara1.617480WSep 4 · 12:00M. Makara2.006650L. Adam1.731111113LSep 4 · 11:00M. Kocvara1.67115211113L. Adam2.1031111742WSep 4 · 09:30V. Burylov1.801141151L. Adam1.9181113113WSep 3 · 07:15L. Adam1.731151211113M. Makara2.0091114772LSep 3 · 05:15L. Adam2.1021111562M. Stibor1.67117511113
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