TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13017690
Played Aug 26Finished
Michal Stibor
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171614411119––
Matej Kovarik
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingMichal Stibor above · Matej Kovarik below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 16-14
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 83 set 4, 11-9
83 points played in total.
H2H Michal Stibor 4–2 Matej Kovarik Matej Kovarik has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Stibor)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStibor 1.40 / Kovarik 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 33%
Edge (Stibor)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13017690
Stibor1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 70 of 111
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it83% 44 of 53
Kovarik2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 13 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back20% 4 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back15% 2 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeStibor4wins
AwayKovarik2wins
1 of 6 to a deciderStibor leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStibor80%4 of 5
AwayKovarikn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stibor5Kovarik1n = 6Stibor took 5 of 6
S2Stibor3Kovarik3n = 6split evenly
S3Stibor3Kovarik3n = 6split evenly
S4Stibor3Kovarik0n = 3Stibor took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricStiborKovarikS − KBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match36.032.0+4.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStiborKovarikBasisWin rate · lifetime168 / 323 vs 50 / 9952%50.5%168 / 323 vs 50 / 99Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.438.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StiborStibor 1.40/Kovarik 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.5%
Stibor · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Stibor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 26 · 07:15M. Stibor—1115113M. Kovarik—91350
WApr 10 · 05:45M. Stibor—1111113M. Kovarik—3490
WMar 25 · 09:48M. Stibor—11911113M. Kovarik—911851
LMar 25 · 07:45M. Stibor—111061162M. Kovarik—812116113
WMar 18 · 09:13M. Stibor—111110113M. Kovarik—681291
LMar 18 · 08:15M. Stibor—8630M. Kovarik—1111113
M. Stibor10
LSep 3 · 08:44M. Stibor1.67681491L. Adam2.10111112113WSep 3 · 07:45L. Heinzl1.7381380M. Stibor2.001115113WSep 3 · 06:45M. Makara2.6311970M. Stibor1.441311113WSep 3 · 05:15L. Adam2.1021111562M. Stibor1.67117511113LAug 31 · 12:18M. Vyskocil1.67441111133M. Stibor2.10111199112LAug 31 · 11:15M. Stibor1.738770M. Vyskocil2.001111113WAug 31 · 10:15M. Stibor1.501161111123L. Rulc2.50131197102WAug 31 · 09:15M. Stibor1.501181411113M. Kocvara2.50131112762WAug 26 · 07:15M. Kovarik2.5091350M. Stibor1.501115113WAug 26 · 06:45M. Stibor1.61291111113V. Grubr2.2011114862
M. Kovarik10
WSep 2 · 07:15M. Kovarik2.5011911143L. Heinzl1.508119121LSep 2 · 06:15M. Kovarik1.5311117772O. Mezera2.38831111113LSep 2 · 05:15M. Kovarik2.2576100L. Adam1.571111123LAug 26 · 07:15M. Kovarik2.5091350M. Stibor1.501115113LAug 26 · 06:15M. Kovarik2.20711101172L. Adam1.61119127113LAug 26 · 05:15M. Kovarik1.80101111992V. Grubr1.91129811113WAug 19 · 08:18M. Kovarik2.101111105113L. Rulc1.6797121172WAug 19 · 07:45M. Kovarik2.1011117113V. Burylov1.67791141WAug 19 · 06:15L. Rulc1.578811101M. Kovarik2.2511118123LAug 19 · 05:45V. Grubr1.831111113M. Kovarik1.837990
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