Vojtech Grubr vs Matej Kovarik 3-0

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #12456548

Played Aug 19Finished

Vojtech Grubr

Home

1.83

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

117119119––––

Matej Kovarik

Away

1.83

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:21 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Matej Kovarik to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

no pick shipped

How it is goingVojtech Grubr above · Matej Kovarik below

Set 1 · 11-7

Set 2 · 11-9

Set 3 · 11-9

Point 58 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Matej Kovarik at 54.0%

58 points played in total.

H2H Vojtech Grubr 9–9 Matej Kovarik Dead even across their 18 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6Head to head

The pickNo pick published

Sealed 18:21

What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.83 (50%)

Kovarik

Wrong

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

9-9 in 18

—

Too close

gap of 0, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Grubr 1625 vs Kovarik 1631

Kovarik

Wrong

both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Grubr 40% vs Kovarik 40%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Grubr 40% vs Kovarik 50%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Grubr -1 · Kovarik +1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kovarik)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Kovarik form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsGrubr 1.83 / Kovarik 1.83

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Kovarik)+4.0pp

Setka Cup · #12456548

Grubr1.83

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

Kovarik1.83

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeGrubr4wins

AwayKovarik6wins

5 of 10 to a deciderKovarik leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeGrubr50%3 of 6

AwayKovarik75%3 of 4

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Grubr6Kovarik4n = 10Grubr took 6 of 10

S2Grubr5Kovarik5n = 10split evenly

S3Grubr4Kovarik6n = 10Kovarik took 6 of 10

S4Grubr5Kovarik4n = 9Grubr took 5 of 9

S5Grubr1Kovarik4n = 5Kovarik took 4 of 5

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away440%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricGrubrKovarikG − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.144.8−2.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricGrubrKovarikBasisWin rate · lifetime226 / 450 vs 47 / 9250.2%51.1%226 / 450 vs 47 / 92Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.238.6per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Kovarik

Grubr 1.83/Kovarik 1.83

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Kovarik · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–0

Grubr won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WApr 10 · 08:19V. Grubr—1210129113M. Kovarik—1012101182

LApr 10 · 06:45V. Grubr—12139562M. Kovarik—10111111113

LFeb 4 · 07:15V. Grubr—511741M. Kovarik—11911113

WAug 13 · 06:15V. Grubr—41112113M. Kovarik—1141071

LAug 6 · 08:11V. Grubr—11861462M. Kovarik—8111112113

LAug 6 · 05:45V. Grubr—78111172M. Kovarik—111186113

WMay 6 · 06:45V. Grubr—11166133M. Kovarik—81411111

LMay 1 · 06:45V. Grubr—8890M. Kovarik—1111113

LApr 23 · 08:45V. Grubr—11911892M. Kovarik—711811113

WApr 23 · 05:45V. Grubr—111114133M. Kovarik—8916111

V. Grubr10

LSep 2 · 12:13A. Radkovsky2.1011191217113V. Grubr1.67817141992 LSep 2 · 11:15V. Grubr1.53118281M. Vyskocil2.3891111113 WSep 2 · 10:15V. Grubr1.67117511113J. Dolezal2.1061111972 LSep 2 · 09:15V. Grubr1.61691181A. Radkovsky2.2011117113 WSep 1 · 12:54L. Rulc1.831111810102V. Grubr1.83881112123 WSep 1 · 11:15V. Grubr1.67611511113A. Radkovsky2.1011611792 LSep 1 · 10:15V. Grubr1.834116101L. Rulc1.8311511123 WSep 1 · 09:15V. Grubr1.911111113T. Liska1.809990 LAug 31 · 16:49V. Grubr2.388880L. Svoboda1.531111113 WAug 31 · 15:45A. Radkovsky1.831011371V. Grubr1.8312911113

M. Kovarik10

WSep 2 · 07:15M. Kovarik2.5011911143L. Heinzl1.508119121 LSep 2 · 06:15M. Kovarik1.5311117772O. Mezera2.38831111113 LSep 2 · 05:15M. Kovarik2.2576100L. Adam1.571111123 LAug 26 · 08:23M. Stibor1.4011164113M. Kovarik2.757141191 LAug 26 · 07:15M. Kovarik2.5091350M. Stibor1.501115113 LAug 26 · 06:15M. Kovarik2.20711101172L. Adam1.61119127113 LAug 26 · 05:15M. Kovarik1.80101111992V. Grubr1.91129811113 WAug 19 · 08:18M. Kovarik2.101111105113L. Rulc1.6797121172 WAug 19 · 07:45M. Kovarik2.1011117113V. Burylov1.67791141 WAug 19 · 06:15L. Rulc1.578811101M. Kovarik2.2511118123

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