TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13053759
Played Aug 31Finished
Vojtech Grubr
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811811––––
Lukas Svoboda
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingVojtech Grubr above · Lukas Svoboda below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 57 set 3, 8-11
57 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Grubr 0–7 Lukas Svoboda Vojtech Grubr has won 0 of their 7 meetings.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Svoboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svoboda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrubr 2.38 / Svoboda 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Svoboda)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13053759
Grubr2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 70 of 159
Down 0–1, comes back30% 26 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 45
Svoboda1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 19 of 32
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it77% 13 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeGrubr0wins
AwaySvoboda7wins
2 of 7 to a deciderSvoboda leads 7–0, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrubrn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySvoboda100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grubr1Svoboda6n = 7Svoboda took 6 of 7
S2Grubr1Svoboda6n = 7Svoboda took 6 of 7
S3Grubr2Svoboda5n = 7Svoboda took 5 of 7
S4Grubr2Svoboda2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away343%
These 7 meetings
MetricGrubrSvobodaG − SBasisWins07−7in 7 meetingsFirst set16−5of 7Avg pointsper match30.940.3−9.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrubrSvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime230 / 457 vs 68 / 15050.3%45.3%230 / 457 vs 68 / 150Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.338.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaGrubr 2.38/Svoboda 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Svoboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 31 · 13:15V. Grubr—7780L. Svoboda—1111113
LFeb 19 · 09:24V. Grubr—11761152L. Svoboda—411118113
LFeb 19 · 06:15V. Grubr—9101131L. Svoboda—11126113
LApr 22 · 07:45V. Grubr—8570L. Svoboda—1111113
LMar 19 · 07:15V. Grubr—1511513132L. Svoboda—1781111113
LMar 3 · 21:55V. Grubr—5740L. Svoboda—1111113
LMar 3 · 18:15V. Grubr—751151L. Svoboda—11117113
V. Grubr10
LSep 2 · 12:13A. Radkovsky2.1011191217113V. Grubr1.67817141992LSep 2 · 11:15V. Grubr1.53118281M. Vyskocil2.3891111113WSep 2 · 10:15V. Grubr1.67117511113J. Dolezal2.1061111972LSep 2 · 09:15V. Grubr1.61691181A. Radkovsky2.2011117113WSep 1 · 12:54L. Rulc1.831111810102V. Grubr1.83881112123WSep 1 · 11:15V. Grubr1.67611511113A. Radkovsky2.1011611792LSep 1 · 10:15V. Grubr1.834116101L. Rulc1.8311511123WSep 1 · 09:15V. Grubr1.911111113T. Liska1.809990WAug 31 · 15:45A. Radkovsky1.831011371V. Grubr1.8312911113WAug 31 · 14:45O. Mezera1.8310680V. Grubr1.831211113
L. Svoboda10
WAug 31 · 15:15L. Svoboda1.5791111113O. Mezera2.25119561WAug 31 · 14:15L. Svoboda1.8312116123A. Radkovsky1.8310511101WAug 31 · 13:15L. Svoboda1.611111113V. Grubr2.207780LAug 15 · 08:50L. Svoboda2.38129771J. Chalupa1.53101111113WAug 15 · 07:45O. Mezera2.00581191L. Svoboda1.7311117113WAug 15 · 06:45M. Kocvara1.6712714642L. Svoboda2.1010111211113LAug 15 · 05:15J. Chalupa1.5311711123L. Svoboda2.386117101LAug 14 · 20:18L. Svoboda1.611151091O. Mezera2.2041112113LAug 14 · 19:45L. Svoboda1.738116101M. Vyskocil2.0011711123WAug 14 · 18:15O. Mezera2.00121111392L. Svoboda1.73147711113
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