TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12435565
Played Aug 15Finished
Martin Kocvara
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12107111412611411
Lukas Svoboda
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:58 and never touched — 62.8% is still 62.8%
Graded at full timeMartin Kocvara to win
62.8%
62.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingMartin Kocvara above · Lukas Svoboda below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 98 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Martin Kocvara at 62.8%
98 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:58What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kocvara
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kocvara 1742 vs Svoboda 1596
Kocvara
Wrong
both rated, 147 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kocvara 40% vs Svoboda 20%
Kocvara
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kocvara 50% vs Svoboda 30%
Kocvara
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kocvara +2 · Svoboda -3
Svoboda
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Kocvara)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svoboda form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKocvara 1.67 / Svoboda 2.10
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Kocvara)+7.0pp
Setka Cup · #12435565
Kocvara1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 21 of 31
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it81% 17 of 21
Svoboda2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 14 of 34
Down 0–1, comes back24% 4 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKocvaraSvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime59 / 101 vs 80 / 17558.4%45.7%59 / 101 vs 80 / 175Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KocvaraKocvara 1.67/Svoboda 2.10
Miss
What we said
62.8%
Kocvara · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Svoboda won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Kocvara10
WSep 6 · 12:24M. Kocvara1.53119113113O. Mezera2.3871191172LSep 6 · 11:45J. Sr1.40111112113M. Kocvara2.75761481LSep 6 · 10:45L. Adam1.801111113M. Kocvara1.919480WSep 6 · 09:15O. Mezera2.208990M. Kocvara1.611111113LSep 4 · 12:59L. Adam2.201111113M. Kocvara1.617480WSep 4 · 11:30V. Burylov1.80991181M. Kocvara1.9111113113WSep 4 · 11:00M. Kocvara1.67115211113L. Adam2.1031111742WSep 4 · 10:00M. Kocvara1.731113123M. Makara2.00611100WSep 1 · 08:21M. Makara2.7551211472M. Kocvara1.401110911113LSep 1 · 07:15M. Kocvara1.6711891172M. Makara2.10911118113
L. Svoboda10
WAug 31 · 16:49V. Grubr2.388880L. Svoboda1.531111113WAug 31 · 15:15L. Svoboda1.5791111113O. Mezera2.25119561WAug 31 · 14:15L. Svoboda1.8312116123A. Radkovsky1.8310511101WAug 31 · 13:15L. Svoboda1.611111113V. Grubr2.207780LAug 15 · 08:50L. Svoboda2.38129771J. Chalupa1.53101111113WAug 15 · 07:45O. Mezera2.00581191L. Svoboda1.7311117113LAug 15 · 05:15J. Chalupa1.5311711123L. Svoboda2.386117101LAug 14 · 20:18L. Svoboda1.611151091O. Mezera2.2041112113LAug 14 · 19:45L. Svoboda1.738116101M. Vyskocil2.0011711123WAug 14 · 18:15O. Mezera2.00121111392L. Svoboda1.73147711113
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