TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12436590
Played Aug 14Finished
Lukas Svoboda
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1145111012911––
Ondrej Mezera
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingLukas Svoboda above · Ondrej Mezera below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 73 set 4, 9-11
73 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Svoboda 2–1 Ondrej Mezera Ondrej Mezera has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Svoboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mezera form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvoboda 1.61 / Mezera 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Svoboda)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12436590
Svoboda1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 21 of 33
Up 2–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it81% 13 of 16
Mezera2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog44% won 103 of 232
Down 0–1, comes back32% 44 of 136
Down 0–2, comes back15% 10 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSvoboda2wins
AwayMezera1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderSvoboda leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svoboda1Mezera2n = 3Mezera took 2 of 3
S2Svoboda0Mezera3n = 3Mezera took 3 of 3
S3Svoboda2Mezera1n = 3Svoboda took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricSvobodaMezeraS − MBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match39.337.0+2.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvobodaMezeraBasisWin rate · lifetime80 / 173 vs 421 / 81446.2%51.7%80 / 173 vs 421 / 814Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.041.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaSvoboda 1.61/Mezera 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Mezera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LJul 7 · 15:15L. Svoboda—6960O. Mezera—1111113
WJul 6 · 16:18L. Svoboda—1091111153O. Mezera—121169132
WJul 6 · 15:15L. Svoboda—11811113O. Mezera—311761
L. Svoboda10
WAug 31 · 16:49V. Grubr2.388880L. Svoboda1.531111113WAug 31 · 15:15L. Svoboda1.5791111113O. Mezera2.25119561WAug 31 · 14:15L. Svoboda1.8312116123A. Radkovsky1.8310511101WAug 31 · 13:15L. Svoboda1.611111113V. Grubr2.207780LAug 15 · 08:50L. Svoboda2.38129771J. Chalupa1.53101111113WAug 15 · 07:45O. Mezera2.00581191L. Svoboda1.7311117113WAug 15 · 06:45M. Kocvara1.6712714642L. Svoboda2.1010111211113LAug 15 · 05:15J. Chalupa1.5311711123L. Svoboda2.386117101LAug 14 · 19:45L. Svoboda1.738116101M. Vyskocil2.0011711123WAug 14 · 18:15O. Mezera2.00121111392L. Svoboda1.73147711113
O. Mezera10
LSep 6 · 12:24M. Kocvara1.53119113113O. Mezera2.3871191172LSep 6 · 11:15O. Mezera2.20811771L. Adam1.6111511113LSep 6 · 10:15O. Mezera2.751112461J. Sr1.4091411113LSep 6 · 09:15O. Mezera2.208990M. Kocvara1.611111113LSep 5 · 20:44J. Sr1.331111113O. Mezera3.251440WSep 5 · 19:15L. Veigl1.53114115142O. Mezera2.38611511153WSep 5 · 18:45O. Mezera3.00121476123J. Sr1.3610121111102LAug 31 · 15:15L. Svoboda1.5791111113O. Mezera2.25119561LAug 15 · 07:45O. Mezera2.00581191L. Svoboda1.7311117113LAug 14 · 18:15O. Mezera2.00121111392L. Svoboda1.73147711113
Upcoming Matches
L. Svoboda
Nothing scheduled
O. Mezera
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