TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049694
Played Aug 31Finished
Lukas Svoboda
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
12101156111210––
Adam Radkovsky
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:25 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Radkovsky to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingLukas Svoboda above · Adam Radkovsky below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 77 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Adam Radkovsky at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:25What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Radkovsky
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Svoboda 1621 vs Radkovsky 1710
Radkovsky
Wrong
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svoboda 60% vs Radkovsky 40%
Svoboda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svoboda 50% vs Radkovsky 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Svoboda +1 · Radkovsky -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Radkovsky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Radkovsky form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvoboda 1.83 / Radkovsky 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Radkovsky)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13049694
Svoboda1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Radkovsky1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvobodaRadkovskyBasisWin rate · lifetime66 / 148 vs 173 / 30044.6%57.7%66 / 148 vs 173 / 300Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.140.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RadkovskySvoboda 1.83/Radkovsky 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.4%
Radkovsky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Svoboda won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
L. Svoboda10
WAug 31 · 16:49V. Grubr2.388880L. Svoboda1.531111113WAug 31 · 15:15L. Svoboda1.5791111113O. Mezera2.25119561WAug 31 · 13:15L. Svoboda1.611111113V. Grubr2.207780LAug 15 · 08:50L. Svoboda2.38129771J. Chalupa1.53101111113WAug 15 · 07:45O. Mezera2.00581191L. Svoboda1.7311117113WAug 15 · 06:45M. Kocvara1.6712714642L. Svoboda2.1010111211113LAug 15 · 05:15J. Chalupa1.5311711123L. Svoboda2.386117101LAug 14 · 20:18L. Svoboda1.611151091O. Mezera2.2041112113LAug 14 · 19:45L. Svoboda1.738116101M. Vyskocil2.0011711123WAug 14 · 18:15O. Mezera2.00121111392L. Svoboda1.73147711113
A. Radkovsky10
LSep 7 · 09:15A. Radkovsky1.9167111352R. Pisa1.801111711113WSep 3 · 16:48S. Rejent1.504640A. Radkovsky2.501111113WSep 3 · 15:15A. Radkovsky2.001191111113J. Sr1.7381191392LSep 3 · 14:15A. Radkovsky2.2059100S. Rejent1.611111123WSep 3 · 13:15A. Radkovsky1.671111113O. Mezera2.106660WSep 2 · 12:13A. Radkovsky2.1011191217113V. Grubr1.67817141992LSep 2 · 11:45J. Dolezal1.5311511133A. Radkovsky2.388116111LSep 2 · 10:45M. Vyskocil1.671111113A. Radkovsky2.108560WSep 2 · 09:15V. Grubr1.61691181A. Radkovsky2.2011117113LSep 1 · 12:23T. Liska1.5391111123A. Radkovsky2.381176101
Upcoming Matches
L. Svoboda
Nothing scheduled
A. Radkovsky
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