TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13089428
Played Sep 7Finished
Adam Radkovsky
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6117111171311511
Radovan Pisa
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:31 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeRadovan Pisa to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Radkovsky above · Radovan Pisa below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 93 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Radovan Pisa at 54.3%
93 points played in total.
H2H Adam Radkovsky 2–0 Radovan Pisa Radovan Pisa has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:31What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Pisa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Radkovsky 1663 vs Pisa 1684
Pisa
Correct
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Radkovsky 80% vs Pisa 40%
Radkovsky
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Radkovsky 50% vs Pisa 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Radkovsky +2 · Pisa -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Pisa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pisa form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRadkovsky 1.91 / Pisa 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Pisa)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13089428
Radkovsky1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog49% won 37 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back26% 7 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back14% 2 of 14
Pisa1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite49% won 79 of 162
Up 2–0, closes it87% 34 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it65% 56 of 86
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeRadkovsky2wins
AwayPisa0wins
2 of 2 to a deciderRadkovsky leads 2–0, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home2
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricRadkovskyPisaR − PBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match55.050.5+4.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRadkovskyPisaBasisWin rate · lifetime180 / 316 vs 387 / 80357%48.2%180 / 316 vs 387 / 803Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.239.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PisaRadkovsky 1.91/Pisa 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.3%
Pisa · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pisa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 22 · 17:45A. Radkovsky—981111113R. Pisa—11118492
WAug 17 · 15:45A. Radkovsky—189913113R. Pisa—1611111192
A. Radkovsky10
WSep 7 · 10:15A. Radkovsky2.257111511113M. Vyskocil1.5711817872WSep 3 · 16:48S. Rejent1.504640A. Radkovsky2.501111113WSep 3 · 15:15A. Radkovsky2.001191111113J. Sr1.7381191392LSep 3 · 14:15A. Radkovsky2.2059100S. Rejent1.611111123WSep 3 · 13:15A. Radkovsky1.671111113O. Mezera2.106660WSep 2 · 12:13A. Radkovsky2.1011191217113V. Grubr1.67817141992LSep 2 · 11:45J. Dolezal1.5311511133A. Radkovsky2.388116111LSep 2 · 10:45M. Vyskocil1.671111113A. Radkovsky2.108560WSep 2 · 09:15V. Grubr1.61691181A. Radkovsky2.2011117113LSep 1 · 12:23T. Liska1.5391111123A. Radkovsky2.381176101
R. Pisa10
WSep 7 · 10:45L. Adam1.501061161R. Pisa2.5012119113LSep 3 · 20:14R. Pisa2.008250A. Snr1.731111113LSep 3 · 19:45T. Liska2.201111113R. Pisa1.617990WSep 3 · 18:45A. Snr1.571011731R. Pisa2.2512611113LSep 3 · 17:15M. Vyskocil1.8091112113R. Pisa1.911131011WSep 2 · 20:48R. Pisa1.8311129113M. Ullman1.833101191WSep 2 · 19:45R. Pisa1.7311118113J. Dolezal2.00381181LSep 2 · 18:15M. Ullman1.831191112113R. Pisa1.8391161462WSep 2 · 17:45S. Rejent1.83118571R. Pisa1.8361111113LAug 31 · 08:23L. Heinzl1.67111214113R. Pisa2.108101671
Upcoming Matches
A. Radkovsky
Nothing scheduled
R. Pisa
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