TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060723
Played Sep 2Finished
Josef Dolezal
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1185111161311––
Adam Radkovsky
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:26 and never touched — 61.6% is still 61.6%
Graded at full timeJosef Dolezal to win
61.6%
61.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJosef Dolezal above · Adam Radkovsky below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 76 set 4, 13-11 — our read held Josef Dolezal at 61.6%
76 points played in total.
H2H Josef Dolezal 1–0 Adam Radkovsky Adam Radkovsky has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:26What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Dolezal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Dolezal 1593 vs Radkovsky 1642
Radkovsky
Wrong
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dolezal 40% vs Radkovsky 20%
Dolezal
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dolezal 40% vs Radkovsky 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Dolezal -3 · Radkovsky -1
Dolezal
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Dolezal) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Radkovsky form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDolezal 1.53 / Radkovsky 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Dolezal)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13060723
Dolezal1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite50% won 18 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it65% 13 of 20
Radkovsky2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 33 of 68
Down 0–1, comes back29% 7 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back17% 2 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeDolezal1wins
AwayRadkovsky0wins
Dolezal leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricDolezalRadkovskyD − RBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match42.036.0+6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDolezalRadkovskyBasisWin rate · lifetime54 / 120 vs 176 / 31045%56.8%54 / 120 vs 176 / 310Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.440.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DolezalDolezal 1.53/Radkovsky 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Dolezal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Dolezal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 8 · 11:30J. Dolezal—11118123A. Radkovsky—8711101
J. Dolezal10
WSep 2 · 20:20J. Dolezal2.101111011113S. Rejent1.6741112732LSep 2 · 19:45R. Pisa1.7311118113J. Dolezal2.00381181LSep 2 · 18:45S. Rejent1.67111114123J. Dolezal2.1013212101LSep 2 · 17:15M. Ullman1.73711511113J. Dolezal2.0011611682WSep 2 · 12:44J. Dolezal1.831111910113M. Vyskocil1.8384111282LSep 2 · 10:15V. Grubr1.67117511113J. Dolezal2.1061111972LSep 2 · 09:45M. Vyskocil1.9111115113J. Dolezal1.80781181LAug 29 · 20:53J. Dolezal2.0011911692V. Burylov1.73911311113WAug 29 · 19:45M. Makara1.731212101072J. Dolezal2.0010101212113WAug 29 · 18:45V. Burylov1.6741181172J. Dolezal2.10115118113
A. Radkovsky10
WSep 3 · 16:48S. Rejent1.504640A. Radkovsky2.501111113WSep 3 · 15:15A. Radkovsky2.001191111113J. Sr1.7381191392LSep 3 · 14:15A. Radkovsky2.2059100S. Rejent1.611111123WSep 3 · 13:15A. Radkovsky1.671111113O. Mezera2.106660WSep 2 · 12:13A. Radkovsky2.1011191217113V. Grubr1.67817141992LSep 2 · 10:45M. Vyskocil1.671111113A. Radkovsky2.108560WSep 2 · 09:15V. Grubr1.61691181A. Radkovsky2.2011117113LSep 1 · 12:23T. Liska1.5391111123A. Radkovsky2.381176101LSep 1 · 11:15V. Grubr1.67611511113A. Radkovsky2.1011611792LSep 1 · 10:45A. Radkovsky2.10711571T. Liska1.6711611113
Upcoming Matches
J. Dolezal
Nothing scheduled
A. Radkovsky
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