TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060689
Played Sep 2Finished
Vojtech Grubr
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116711511119117
Josef Dolezal
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:26 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeVojtech Grubr to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVojtech Grubr above · Josef Dolezal below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 89 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Vojtech Grubr at 55.8%
89 points played in total.
H2H Vojtech Grubr 3–1 Josef Dolezal Josef Dolezal has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:26What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Grubr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Grubr
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Grubr 1641 vs Dolezal 1603
Grubr
Correct
both rated, 38 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Grubr 60% vs Dolezal 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Grubr 50% vs Dolezal 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Grubr -1 · Dolezal -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Grubr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dolezal form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGrubr 1.67 / Dolezal 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Grubr)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13060689
Grubr1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 37 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it72% 23 of 32
Dolezal2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog44% won 36 of 82
Down 0–1, comes back22% 9 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeGrubr3wins
AwayDolezal1wins
Grubr leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGrubr66.7%2 of 3
AwayDolezaln = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Grubr3Dolezal1n = 4Grubr took 3 of 4
S2Grubr2Dolezal2n = 4split evenly
S3Grubr3Dolezal1n = 4Grubr took 3 of 4
S4Grubr2Dolezal1n = 3Grubr took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home250%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricGrubrDolezalG − DBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match35.832.2+3.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGrubrDolezalBasisWin rate · lifetime233 / 463 vs 54 / 11950.3%45.4%233 / 463 vs 54 / 119Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.238.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GrubrGrubr 1.67/Dolezal 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Grubr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Grubr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 18 · 18:15V. Grubr—118711J. Dolezal—91111113
WJun 18 · 19:15V. Grubr—12611113J. Dolezal—1011941
WJun 4 · 20:48V. Grubr—81311113J. Dolezal—1111491
WJun 4 · 18:15V. Grubr—1111113J. Dolezal—6840
V. Grubr10
LSep 2 · 12:13A. Radkovsky2.1011191217113V. Grubr1.67817141992LSep 2 · 11:15V. Grubr1.53118281M. Vyskocil2.3891111113LSep 2 · 09:15V. Grubr1.61691181A. Radkovsky2.2011117113WSep 1 · 12:54L. Rulc1.831111810102V. Grubr1.83881112123WSep 1 · 11:15V. Grubr1.67611511113A. Radkovsky2.1011611792LSep 1 · 10:15V. Grubr1.834116101L. Rulc1.8311511123WSep 1 · 09:15V. Grubr1.911111113T. Liska1.809990LAug 31 · 16:49V. Grubr2.388880L. Svoboda1.531111113WAug 31 · 15:45A. Radkovsky1.831011371V. Grubr1.8312911113WAug 31 · 14:45O. Mezera1.8310680V. Grubr1.831211113
J. Dolezal10
WSep 2 · 20:20J. Dolezal2.101111011113S. Rejent1.6741112732LSep 2 · 19:45R. Pisa1.7311118113J. Dolezal2.00381181LSep 2 · 18:45S. Rejent1.67111114123J. Dolezal2.1013212101LSep 2 · 17:15M. Ullman1.73711511113J. Dolezal2.0011611682WSep 2 · 12:44J. Dolezal1.831111910113M. Vyskocil1.8384111282WSep 2 · 11:45J. Dolezal1.5311511133A. Radkovsky2.388116111LSep 2 · 09:45M. Vyskocil1.9111115113J. Dolezal1.80781181LAug 29 · 20:53J. Dolezal2.0011911692V. Burylov1.73911311113WAug 29 · 19:45M. Makara1.731212101072J. Dolezal2.0010101212113WAug 29 · 18:45V. Burylov1.6741181172J. Dolezal2.10115118113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.