TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049832
Played Aug 31Finished
Ondrej Mezera
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012611811––––
Vojtech Grubr
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Mezera to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOndrej Mezera above · Vojtech Grubr below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 58 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Ondrej Mezera at 54.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Mezera 4–3 Vojtech Grubr Vojtech Grubr has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:43What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Grubr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mezera 1664 vs Grubr 1608
Mezera
Wrong
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mezera 60% vs Grubr 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mezera 50% vs Grubr 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mezera +2 · Grubr -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Mezera)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMezera 1.83 / Grubr 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Mezera)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13049832
Mezera1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Grubr1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeMezera4wins
AwayGrubr3wins
2 of 7 to a deciderMezera leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMezera50%3 of 6
AwayGrubrn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mezera6Grubr1n = 7Mezera took 6 of 7
S2Mezera3Grubr4n = 7Grubr took 4 of 7
S3Mezera2Grubr5n = 7Grubr took 5 of 7
S4Mezera4Grubr2n = 6Mezera took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricMezeraGrubrM − GBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set61+5of 7Avg pointsper match38.638.60.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMezeraGrubrBasisWin rate · lifetime413 / 812 vs 228 / 45550.9%50.1%413 / 812 vs 228 / 455Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.940.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MezeraMezera 1.83/Grubr 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Mezera · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Grubr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 19 · 13:15O. Mezera—11119113V. Grubr—991191
LMay 18 · 13:15O. Mezera—11071182V. Grubr—911119113
LDec 2 · 08:15O. Mezera—118481V. Grubr—91111113
WNov 20 · 09:00O. Mezera—11612103V. Grubr—5111051
LNov 19 · 11:15O. Mezera—118691V. Grubr—21111113
WOct 1 · 16:49O. Mezera—911911113V. Grubr—11811972
WOct 1 · 15:45O. Mezera—1115103V. Grubr—61380
O. Mezera10
LSep 6 · 12:24M. Kocvara1.53119113113O. Mezera2.3871191172LSep 6 · 11:15O. Mezera2.20811771L. Adam1.6111511113LSep 6 · 10:15O. Mezera2.751112461J. Sr1.4091411113LSep 6 · 09:15O. Mezera2.208990M. Kocvara1.611111113LSep 5 · 20:44J. Sr1.331111113O. Mezera3.251440WSep 5 · 19:15L. Veigl1.53114115142O. Mezera2.38611511153WSep 5 · 18:45O. Mezera3.00121476123J. Sr1.3610121111102WSep 5 · 17:45O. Mezera2.00115811113J. Senk1.7341111862LSep 3 · 16:18O. Mezera2.7531111552J. Sr1.40116911113LSep 3 · 15:45S. Rejent1.531191111113O. Mezera2.3891141342
V. Grubr10
LSep 2 · 12:13A. Radkovsky2.1011191217113V. Grubr1.67817141992LSep 2 · 11:15V. Grubr1.53118281M. Vyskocil2.3891111113WSep 2 · 10:15V. Grubr1.67117511113J. Dolezal2.1061111972LSep 2 · 09:15V. Grubr1.61691181A. Radkovsky2.2011117113WSep 1 · 12:54L. Rulc1.831111810102V. Grubr1.83881112123WSep 1 · 11:15V. Grubr1.67611511113A. Radkovsky2.1011611792LSep 1 · 10:15V. Grubr1.834116101L. Rulc1.8311511123WSep 1 · 09:15V. Grubr1.911111113T. Liska1.809990LAug 31 · 16:49V. Grubr2.388880L. Svoboda1.531111113WAug 31 · 15:45A. Radkovsky1.831011371V. Grubr1.8312911113
Upcoming Matches
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