TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13085086
Played Sep 6Finished
Ondrej Mezera
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811115711711––
Lukas Adam
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:39 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Mezera to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOndrej Mezera above · Lukas Adam below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 71 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Ondrej Mezera at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Mezera 1–0 Lukas Adam Lukas Adam has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:39What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Adam
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Mezera 1619 vs Adam 1736
Adam
Correct
both rated, 116 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mezera 40% vs Adam 60%
Adam
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mezera 40% vs Adam 70%
Adam
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mezera -3 · Adam +1
Mezera
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Adam) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMezera 2.20 / Adam 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Adam)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13085086
Mezera2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 118 of 255
Down 0–1, comes back32% 47 of 146
Down 0–2, comes back17% 13 of 77
Adam1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 66 of 112
Up 2–0, closes it100% 27 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it89% 47 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMezera1wins
AwayAdam0wins
Mezera leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMezeraAdamM − ABasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match40.035.0+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMezeraAdamBasisWin rate · lifetime411 / 817 vs 282 / 54950.3%51.4%411 / 817 vs 282 / 549Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.840.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamMezera 2.20/Adam 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Adam · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Adam won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 2 · 07:45O. Mezera—11711113L. Adam—711981
O. Mezera10
LSep 6 · 12:24M. Kocvara1.53119113113O. Mezera2.3871191172LSep 6 · 10:15O. Mezera2.751112461J. Sr1.4091411113LSep 6 · 09:15O. Mezera2.208990M. Kocvara1.611111113LSep 5 · 20:44J. Sr1.331111113O. Mezera3.251440WSep 5 · 19:15L. Veigl1.53114115142O. Mezera2.38611511153WSep 5 · 18:45O. Mezera3.00121476123J. Sr1.3610121111102WSep 5 · 17:45O. Mezera2.00115811113J. Senk1.7341111862LSep 3 · 16:18O. Mezera2.7531111552J. Sr1.40116911113LSep 3 · 15:45S. Rejent1.531191111113O. Mezera2.3891141342WSep 3 · 14:45J. Sr1.57511111092O. Mezera2.25118812113
L. Adam10
LSep 6 · 12:54J. Sr1.611311113L. Adam2.2011760WSep 6 · 10:45L. Adam1.801111113M. Kocvara1.919480LSep 6 · 09:45L. Adam2.104760J. Sr1.671111113WSep 4 · 12:59L. Adam2.201111113M. Kocvara1.617480WSep 4 · 12:00M. Makara2.006650L. Adam1.731111113LSep 4 · 11:00M. Kocvara1.67115211113L. Adam2.1031111742WSep 4 · 09:30V. Burylov1.801141151L. Adam1.9181113113WSep 3 · 08:44M. Stibor1.67681491L. Adam2.10111112113WSep 3 · 07:15L. Adam1.731151211113M. Makara2.0091114772WSep 3 · 06:15L. Adam2.0091111113L. Heinzl1.73113791
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