TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079167
Played Sep 5Finished
Ondrej Mezera
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
121014127116111210
Jan Krames Sr
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:20 and never touched — 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeJan Krames Sr to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOndrej Mezera above · Jan Krames Sr below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 105 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Jan Krames Sr at 68.8%
105 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Mezera 1–2 Jan Krames Sr Ondrej Mezera has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:20What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Sr
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mezera 1597 vs Sr 1702
Sr
Wrong
both rated, 105 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mezera 40% vs Sr 80%
Sr
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mezera 40% vs Sr 60%
Sr
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mezera +1 · Sr +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Sr) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMezera 3.00 / Sr 1.36
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Sr)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13079167
Mezera3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 115 of 252
Down 0–1, comes back32% 46 of 145
Down 0–2, comes back17% 13 of 77
Sr1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 120 of 210
Up 2–0, closes it90% 65 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it78% 100 of 128
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMezera1wins
AwaySr2wins
3 of 3 to a deciderSr leads 2–1, and 3 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mezera1Sr2n = 3Sr took 2 of 3
S2Mezera2Sr1n = 3Mezera took 2 of 3
S3Mezera2Sr1n = 3Mezera took 2 of 3
S4Mezera1Sr2n = 3Sr took 2 of 3
S5Mezera1Sr2n = 3Sr took 2 of 3
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away267%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricMezeraSrM − SBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match41.748.0−6.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMezeraSrBasisWin rate · lifetime413 / 816 vs 387 / 70150.6%55.2%413 / 816 vs 387 / 701Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.840.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SrMezera 3.00/Sr 1.36
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
69.6%
Sr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Mezera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 3 · 16:18O. Mezera—31111552J. Sr—116911113
WSep 3 · 14:45O. Mezera—118812113J. Sr—511111092
LJul 29 · 15:15O. Mezera—41111772J. Sr—118911113
O. Mezera10
LSep 6 · 12:24M. Kocvara1.53119113113O. Mezera2.3871191172LSep 6 · 11:15O. Mezera2.20811771L. Adam1.6111511113LSep 6 · 10:15O. Mezera2.751112461J. Sr1.4091411113LSep 6 · 09:15O. Mezera2.208990M. Kocvara1.611111113LSep 5 · 20:44J. Sr1.331111113O. Mezera3.251440WSep 5 · 19:15L. Veigl1.53114115142O. Mezera2.38611511153WSep 5 · 17:45O. Mezera2.00115811113J. Senk1.7341111862LSep 3 · 16:18O. Mezera2.7531111552J. Sr1.40116911113LSep 3 · 15:45S. Rejent1.531191111113O. Mezera2.3891141342WSep 3 · 14:45J. Sr1.57511111092O. Mezera2.25118812113
J. Sr10
WSep 6 · 12:54J. Sr1.611311113L. Adam2.2011760WSep 6 · 11:45J. Sr1.40111112113M. Kocvara2.75761481WSep 6 · 10:15O. Mezera2.751112461J. Sr1.4091411113WSep 6 · 09:45L. Adam2.104760J. Sr1.671111113WSep 5 · 20:44J. Sr1.331111113O. Mezera3.251440WSep 5 · 19:45J. Senk2.755820J. Sr1.401111113WSep 5 · 17:15L. Veigl2.25911691J. Sr1.5711511113WSep 4 · 20:53J. Sr1.7311118113D. Gasparovic2.00761121WSep 3 · 16:18O. Mezera2.7531111552J. Sr1.40116911113LSep 3 · 14:45J. Sr1.57511111092O. Mezera2.25118812113
Upcoming Matches
O. Mezera
J. Sr
Nothing scheduled
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