TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13044053
Played Aug 29Finished
Josef Dolezal
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119911113611911
Volodymyr Burylov
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJosef Dolezal above · Volodymyr Burylov below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 91 set 5, 9-11
91 points played in total.
H2H Josef Dolezal 1–1 Volodymyr Burylov Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Burylov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dolezal form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDolezal 2.00 / Burylov 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Burylov)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13044053
Dolezal2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 32 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back19% 7 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Burylov1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite43% won 39 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it61% 25 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeDolezal1wins
AwayBurylov1wins
2 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricDolezalBurylovD − BBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match43.045.5−2.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDolezalBurylovBasisWin rate · lifetime54 / 117 vs 185 / 37146.2%49.9%54 / 117 vs 185 / 371Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.339.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BurylovDolezal 2.00/Burylov 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Burylov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Burylov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 29 · 18:45J. Dolezal—115118113V. Burylov—41181172
LJul 19 · 12:00J. Dolezal—11811282V. Burylov—911811113
J. Dolezal10
WSep 2 · 20:20J. Dolezal2.101111011113S. Rejent1.6741112732LSep 2 · 19:45R. Pisa1.7311118113J. Dolezal2.00381181LSep 2 · 18:45S. Rejent1.67111114123J. Dolezal2.1013212101LSep 2 · 17:15M. Ullman1.73711511113J. Dolezal2.0011611682WSep 2 · 12:44J. Dolezal1.831111910113M. Vyskocil1.8384111282WSep 2 · 11:45J. Dolezal1.5311511133A. Radkovsky2.388116111LSep 2 · 10:15V. Grubr1.67117511113J. Dolezal2.1061111972LSep 2 · 09:45M. Vyskocil1.9111115113J. Dolezal1.80781181WAug 29 · 19:45M. Makara1.731212101072J. Dolezal2.0010101212113WAug 29 · 18:45V. Burylov1.6741181172J. Dolezal2.10115118113
V. Burylov10
WSep 6 · 17:00V. Burylov1.831111113D. Gasparovic1.838860WSep 6 · 15:45J. Chalupa1.80111011992V. Burylov1.91812911113WSep 6 · 14:45D. Gasparovic1.73136128112V. Burylov2.0011111011133LSep 6 · 13:15S. Rejent1.91691111153V. Burylov1.80111168132WSep 4 · 20:23V. Burylov1.7311911113A. Snr2.00611891WSep 4 · 19:45J. Sr1.9111117662V. Burylov1.80531111113LSep 4 · 18:45D. Gasparovic1.73111110143V. Burylov2.006912121LSep 4 · 12:29M. Makara2.101211113V. Burylov1.6710940LSep 4 · 11:30V. Burylov1.80991181M. Kocvara1.9111113113LAug 29 · 18:45V. Burylov1.6741181172J. Dolezal2.10115118113
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