TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13060579
Played Sep 2Finished
Marek Vyskocil
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117118511118––
Josef Dolezal
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMarek Vyskocil to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Vyskocil above · Josef Dolezal below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 72 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Marek Vyskocil at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Marek Vyskocil 3–3 Josef Dolezal Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:57What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Dolezal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vyskocil 1677 vs Dolezal 1622
Vyskocil
Correct
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vyskocil 80% vs Dolezal 60%
Vyskocil
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vyskocil 60% vs Dolezal 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vyskocil +2 · Dolezal -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vyskocil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vyskocil form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVyskocil 1.91 / Dolezal 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vyskocil)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13060579
Vyskocil1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog51% won 29 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back31% 9 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back22% 2 of 9
Dolezal1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 18 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it65% 13 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeVyskocil3wins
AwayDolezal3wins
1 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVyskociln = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayDolezal75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vyskocil2Dolezal4n = 6Dolezal took 4 of 6
S2Vyskocil5Dolezal1n = 6Vyskocil took 5 of 6
S3Vyskocil3Dolezal3n = 6split evenly
S4Vyskocil1Dolezal4n = 5Dolezal took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away350%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricVyskocilDolezalV − DBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match40.538.3+2.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVyskocilDolezalBasisWin rate · lifetime218 / 405 vs 54 / 11853.8%45.8%218 / 405 vs 54 / 118Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match40.338.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VyskocilVyskocil 1.91/Dolezal 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vyskocil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vyskocil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 14 · 20:50M. Vyskocil—9914101J. Dolezal—111112123
WAug 14 · 18:45M. Vyskocil—111157113J. Dolezal—76111162
LAug 14 · 12:14M. Vyskocil—8118101J. Dolezal—11511123
WAug 14 · 09:45M. Vyskocil—1111113J. Dolezal—7980
WJul 8 · 12:58M. Vyskocil—141113113J. Dolezal—1671151
LJul 8 · 11:00M. Vyskocil—9117101J. Dolezal—11711123
M. Vyskocil10
WSep 4 · 08:48T. Liska1.91911981M. Vyskocil1.8011811113LSep 4 · 07:45M. Vyskocil1.73101090T. Liska2.001212113WSep 4 · 06:15P. Fencl2.201111115102M. Vyskocil1.61613911123WSep 4 · 05:45J. Senk1.7311860M. Vyskocil2.001311113WSep 3 · 20:43T. Liska1.919101161M. Vyskocil1.8011126113LSep 3 · 19:15M. Vyskocil1.83691111102A. Snr1.83111188123LSep 3 · 18:15M. Vyskocil1.67117117112T. Liska2.10711811133WSep 3 · 17:15M. Vyskocil1.8091112113R. Pisa1.911131011LSep 2 · 12:44J. Dolezal1.831111910113M. Vyskocil1.8384111282WSep 2 · 11:15V. Grubr1.53118281M. Vyskocil2.3891111113
J. Dolezal10
WSep 2 · 20:20J. Dolezal2.101111011113S. Rejent1.6741112732LSep 2 · 19:45R. Pisa1.7311118113J. Dolezal2.00381181LSep 2 · 18:45S. Rejent1.67111114123J. Dolezal2.1013212101LSep 2 · 17:15M. Ullman1.73711511113J. Dolezal2.0011611682WSep 2 · 12:44J. Dolezal1.831111910113M. Vyskocil1.8384111282WSep 2 · 11:45J. Dolezal1.5311511133A. Radkovsky2.388116111LSep 2 · 10:15V. Grubr1.67117511113J. Dolezal2.1061111972LAug 29 · 20:53J. Dolezal2.0011911692V. Burylov1.73911311113WAug 29 · 19:45M. Makara1.731212101072J. Dolezal2.0010101212113WAug 29 · 18:45V. Burylov1.6741181172J. Dolezal2.10115118113
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