TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037657
Played Aug 29Finished
Volodymyr Burylov
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
411115811118711
Josef Dolezal
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:04 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Burylov to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVolodymyr Burylov above · Josef Dolezal below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 87 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Volodymyr Burylov at 54.7%
87 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Burylov 1–0 Josef Dolezal Josef Dolezal has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:04What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Burylov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Burylov 1760 vs Dolezal 1602
Burylov
Wrong
both rated, 158 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Burylov 20% vs Dolezal 40%
Dolezal
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Burylov 40% vs Dolezal 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Burylov +1 · Dolezal +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Burylov) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Burylov form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBurylov 1.67 / Dolezal 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Burylov)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13037657
Burylov1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite43% won 39 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it61% 25 of 41
Dolezal2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog43% won 32 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back19% 7 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBurylov1wins
AwayDolezal0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderBurylov leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBurylovDolezalB − DBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match50.040.0+10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBurylovDolezalBasisWin rate · lifetime184 / 369 vs 52 / 11549.9%45.2%184 / 369 vs 52 / 115Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BurylovBurylov 1.67/Dolezal 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Burylov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dolezal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 19 · 12:00V. Burylov—911811113J. Dolezal—11811282
V. Burylov10
WSep 6 · 17:00V. Burylov1.831111113D. Gasparovic1.838860WSep 6 · 15:45J. Chalupa1.80111011992V. Burylov1.91812911113WSep 6 · 14:45D. Gasparovic1.73136128112V. Burylov2.0011111011133LSep 6 · 13:15S. Rejent1.91691111153V. Burylov1.80111168132WSep 4 · 20:23V. Burylov1.7311911113A. Snr2.00611891WSep 4 · 19:45J. Sr1.9111117662V. Burylov1.80531111113LSep 4 · 18:45D. Gasparovic1.73111110143V. Burylov2.006912121LSep 4 · 12:29M. Makara2.101211113V. Burylov1.6710940LSep 4 · 11:30V. Burylov1.80991181M. Kocvara1.9111113113WSep 4 · 10:30V. Burylov1.611171114113M. Makara2.2061171692
J. Dolezal10
WSep 2 · 20:20J. Dolezal2.101111011113S. Rejent1.6741112732LSep 2 · 19:45R. Pisa1.7311118113J. Dolezal2.00381181LSep 2 · 18:45S. Rejent1.67111114123J. Dolezal2.1013212101LSep 2 · 17:15M. Ullman1.73711511113J. Dolezal2.0011611682WSep 2 · 12:44J. Dolezal1.831111910113M. Vyskocil1.8384111282WSep 2 · 11:45J. Dolezal1.5311511133A. Radkovsky2.388116111LSep 2 · 10:15V. Grubr1.67117511113J. Dolezal2.1061111972LSep 2 · 09:45M. Vyskocil1.9111115113J. Dolezal1.80781181LAug 29 · 20:53J. Dolezal2.0011911692V. Burylov1.73911311113WAug 29 · 19:45M. Makara1.731212101072J. Dolezal2.0010101212113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.