TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067411
Played Sep 3Finished
Marek Vyskocil
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1177111187111113
Tomas Liska
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:47 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeMarek Vyskocil to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMarek Vyskocil above · Tomas Liska below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 97 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Marek Vyskocil at 56.2%
97 points played in total.
H2H Marek Vyskocil 3–5 Tomas Liska Marek Vyskocil has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:47What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vyskocil
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-5 in 8
Liska
Correct
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vyskocil 1727 vs Liska 1627
Vyskocil
Wrong
both rated, 100 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vyskocil 80% vs Liska 60%
Vyskocil
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vyskocil 80% vs Liska 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vyskocil +1 · Liska +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Vyskocil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Liska form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVyskocil 1.67 / Liska 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Vyskocil)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13067411
Vyskocil1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 70 of 122
Up 2–0, closes it90% 36 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it76% 53 of 70
Liska2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 101 of 249
Down 0–1, comes back19% 26 of 139
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeVyskocil3wins
AwayLiska5wins
5 of 8 to a deciderLiska leads 5–3, and 5 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVyskocil60%3 of 5
AwayLiska100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vyskocil5Liska3n = 8Vyskocil took 5 of 8
S2Vyskocil5Liska3n = 8Vyskocil took 5 of 8
S3Vyskocil3Liska5n = 8Liska took 5 of 8
S4Vyskocil6Liska1n = 7Vyskocil took 6 of 7
S5Vyskocil0Liska5n = 5Liska took 5 of 5
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away563%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricVyskocilLiskaV − LBasisWins35−2in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match42.642.5+0.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVyskocilLiskaBasisWin rate · lifetime222 / 406 vs 403 / 87554.7%46.1%222 / 406 vs 403 / 875Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.440.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VyskocilVyskocil 1.67/Liska 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Vyskocil · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Liska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WAug 20 · 13:00M. Vyskocil—11117113T. Liska—991151
WAug 20 · 12:00M. Vyskocil—1111113T. Liska—7960
LAug 3 · 16:13M. Vyskocil—121151492T. Liska—1481112113
LAug 3 · 13:15M. Vyskocil—11115992T. Liska—481111113
WJul 27 · 08:48M. Vyskocil—11611113T. Liska—711951
LJul 27 · 07:45M. Vyskocil—41181142T. Liska—117119113
LJul 13 · 06:15M. Vyskocil—98111192T. Liska—111179113
LJul 12 · 18:15M. Vyskocil—1110411112T. Liska—812119133
M. Vyskocil10
WSep 4 · 08:48T. Liska1.91911981M. Vyskocil1.8011811113LSep 4 · 07:45M. Vyskocil1.73101090T. Liska2.001212113WSep 4 · 06:15P. Fencl2.201111115102M. Vyskocil1.61613911123WSep 4 · 05:45J. Senk1.7311860M. Vyskocil2.001311113WSep 3 · 20:43T. Liska1.919101161M. Vyskocil1.8011126113LSep 3 · 19:15M. Vyskocil1.83691111102A. Snr1.83111188123WSep 3 · 17:15M. Vyskocil1.8091112113R. Pisa1.911131011LSep 2 · 12:44J. Dolezal1.831111910113M. Vyskocil1.8384111282WSep 2 · 11:15V. Grubr1.53118281M. Vyskocil2.3891111113WSep 2 · 10:45M. Vyskocil1.671111113A. Radkovsky2.108560
T. Liska10
LSep 4 · 08:48T. Liska1.91911981M. Vyskocil1.8011811113WSep 4 · 07:45M. Vyskocil1.73101090T. Liska2.001212113WSep 4 · 06:45J. Senk2.207990T. Liska1.611111113WSep 4 · 05:15P. Fencl1.8011111010102T. Liska1.91761212123LSep 3 · 20:43T. Liska1.919101161M. Vyskocil1.8011126113WSep 3 · 19:45T. Liska2.201111113R. Pisa1.617990WSep 3 · 17:45A. Snr1.83119561T. Liska1.8371111113WSep 1 · 12:23T. Liska1.5391111123A. Radkovsky2.381176101LSep 1 · 11:45L. Rulc1.67121189123T. Liska2.101041111102WSep 1 · 10:45A. Radkovsky2.10711571T. Liska1.6711611113
Upcoming Matches
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