TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067594
Played Sep 3Finished
Tomas Liska
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119119––––
Radovan Pisa
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:19 and never touched — 61.3% is still 61.3%
Graded at full timeRadovan Pisa to win
61.3%
61.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingTomas Liska above · Radovan Pisa below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 58 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Radovan Pisa at 61.3%
58 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Liska 46–61 Radovan Pisa Tomas Liska has won 46 of their 107 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:19What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Pisa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
46-61 in 107
Pisa
Wrong
gap of 15 in 107, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Liska 1664 vs Pisa 1717
Pisa
Wrong
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Liska 80% vs Pisa 60%
Liska
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Liska 70% vs Pisa 50%
Liska
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Liska +3 · Pisa +1
Liska
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Pisa) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Liska form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLiska 2.20 / Pisa 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Pisa)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13067594
Liska2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 101 of 249
Down 0–1, comes back19% 26 of 139
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 58
Pisa1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite49% won 80 of 162
Up 2–0, closes it88% 35 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it66% 57 of 87
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLiska4wins
AwayPisa6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPisa leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLiska66.7%2 of 3
AwayPisa71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Liska3Pisa7n = 10Pisa took 7 of 10
S2Liska5Pisa5n = 10split evenly
S3Liska5Pisa5n = 10split evenly
S4Liska5Pisa3n = 8Liska took 5 of 8
S5Liska2Pisa3n = 5Pisa took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLiskaPisaL − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match41.742.0−0.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLiskaPisaBasisWin rate · lifetime404 / 876 vs 387 / 80146.1%48.3%404 / 876 vs 387 / 801Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.439.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PisaLiska 2.20/Pisa 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Pisa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Liska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 07:15T. Liska—101111113R. Pisa—129981
LAug 13 · 07:45T. Liska—810111192R. Pisa—111259113
WAug 12 · 05:45T. Liska—961111113R. Pisa—11113972
LAug 8 · 20:13T. Liska—712815112R. Pisa—11101113133
WAug 8 · 18:15T. Liska—1111113R. Pisa—6690
WJul 27 · 06:45T. Liska—118139113R. Pisa—711111162
LJul 24 · 06:15T. Liska—813971R. Pisa—111111113
LJul 13 · 05:45T. Liska—54100R. Pisa—1111123
LJul 12 · 20:53T. Liska—911891R. Pisa—11911113
LJul 12 · 17:15T. Liska—11991162R. Pisa—711118113
T. Liska10
LSep 4 · 08:48T. Liska1.91911981M. Vyskocil1.8011811113WSep 4 · 07:45M. Vyskocil1.73101090T. Liska2.001212113WSep 4 · 06:45J. Senk2.207990T. Liska1.611111113WSep 4 · 05:15P. Fencl1.8011111010102T. Liska1.91761212123LSep 3 · 20:43T. Liska1.919101161M. Vyskocil1.8011126113WSep 3 · 18:15M. Vyskocil1.67117117112T. Liska2.10711811133WSep 3 · 17:45A. Snr1.83119561T. Liska1.8371111113WSep 1 · 12:23T. Liska1.5391111123A. Radkovsky2.381176101LSep 1 · 11:45L. Rulc1.67121189123T. Liska2.101041111102WSep 1 · 10:45A. Radkovsky2.10711571T. Liska1.6711611113
R. Pisa10
LSep 3 · 20:14R. Pisa2.008250A. Snr1.731111113WSep 3 · 18:45A. Snr1.571011731R. Pisa2.2512611113LSep 3 · 17:15M. Vyskocil1.8091112113R. Pisa1.911131011WSep 2 · 20:48R. Pisa1.8311129113M. Ullman1.833101191WSep 2 · 19:45R. Pisa1.7311118113J. Dolezal2.00381181LSep 2 · 18:15M. Ullman1.831191112113R. Pisa1.8391161462WSep 2 · 17:45S. Rejent1.83118571R. Pisa1.8361111113LAug 31 · 08:23L. Heinzl1.67111214113R. Pisa2.108101671LAug 31 · 07:15R. Pisa1.7311111011122M. Makara2.00813127143WAug 31 · 06:15R. Pisa2.2081411113L. Heinzl1.611112981
Upcoming Matches
T. Liska
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R. Pisa
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