TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067718
Played Sep 3Finished
Ales Brandtl Snr
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012116711311––
Radovan Pisa
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:39 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeAles Brandtl Snr to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAles Brandtl Snr above · Radovan Pisa below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 71 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Ales Brandtl Snr at 58.9%
71 points played in total.
H2H Ales Brandtl Snr 1–2 Radovan Pisa Ales Brandtl Snr has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:39What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Snr
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Snr 1590 vs Pisa 1717
Pisa
Correct
both rated, 127 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Snr 40% vs Pisa 60%
Pisa
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Snr 40% vs Pisa 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Snr -1 · Pisa -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Snr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pisa form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSnr 1.57 / Pisa 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Snr)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13067718
Snr1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite33% won 5 of 15
Up 2–0, closes it60% 3 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it42% 5 of 12
Pisa2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 92 of 204
Down 0–1, comes back29% 32 of 111
Down 0–2, comes back15% 9 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSnr1wins
AwayPisa2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderPisa leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Snr2Pisa1n = 3Snr took 2 of 3
S2Snr3Pisa0n = 3Snr took 3 of 3
S3Snr1Pisa2n = 3Pisa took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSnrPisaS − PBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match37.737.0+0.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSnrPisaBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 26 vs 387 / 80130.8%48.3%8 / 26 vs 387 / 801Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SnrSnr 1.57/Pisa 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Snr · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pisa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 3 · 18:45A. Snr—1011731R. Pisa—12611113
LJun 16 · 20:19A. Snr—111188112R. Pisa—791111133
WJun 16 · 18:15A. Snr—1111113R. Pisa—9560
A. Snr10
LSep 4 · 20:23V. Burylov1.7311911113A. Snr2.00611891LSep 4 · 19:15A. Snr2.50751191D. Gasparovic1.5011117113LSep 4 · 18:15A. Snr1.8361151152J. Sr1.83117117113WSep 3 · 20:14R. Pisa2.008250A. Snr1.731111113WSep 3 · 19:15M. Vyskocil1.83691111102A. Snr1.83111188123LSep 3 · 17:45A. Snr1.83119561T. Liska1.8371111113WJul 18 · 20:28A. Snr1.381111163S. Rejent2.8048140LJul 18 · 19:45A. Snr1.8395111682J. Sr1.831111314113WJul 18 · 18:15S. Rejent3.25111312892A. Snr1.3313111011113LJul 18 · 17:45M. Kocvara2.0091211113A. Snr1.731110951
R. Pisa10
LSep 3 · 20:14R. Pisa2.008250A. Snr1.731111113LSep 3 · 19:45T. Liska2.201111113R. Pisa1.617990LSep 3 · 17:15M. Vyskocil1.8091112113R. Pisa1.911131011WSep 2 · 20:48R. Pisa1.8311129113M. Ullman1.833101191WSep 2 · 19:45R. Pisa1.7311118113J. Dolezal2.00381181LSep 2 · 18:15M. Ullman1.831191112113R. Pisa1.8391161462WSep 2 · 17:45S. Rejent1.83118571R. Pisa1.8361111113LAug 31 · 08:23L. Heinzl1.67111214113R. Pisa2.108101671LAug 31 · 07:15R. Pisa1.7311111011122M. Makara2.00813127143WAug 31 · 06:15R. Pisa2.2081411113L. Heinzl1.611112981
Upcoming Matches
A. Snr
Nothing scheduled
R. Pisa
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