TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13051440
Played Aug 31Finished
Lukas Heinzl
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11812101416117––
Radovan Pisa
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingLukas Heinzl above · Radovan Pisa below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 14-16
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 89 set 4, 11-7
89 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Heinzl 46–28 Radovan Pisa Radovan Pisa has won 28 of their 74 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Heinzl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Heinzl form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHeinzl 1.67 / Pisa 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Heinzl)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13051440
Heinzl1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 155 of 261
Up 2–0, closes it95% 70 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it76% 113 of 148
Pisa2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog45% won 91 of 201
Down 0–1, comes back29% 31 of 108
Down 0–2, comes back15% 9 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHeinzl6wins
AwayPisa4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHeinzl leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHeinzl50%3 of 6
AwayPisa25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Heinzl6Pisa4n = 10Heinzl took 6 of 10
S2Heinzl6Pisa4n = 10Heinzl took 6 of 10
S3Heinzl4Pisa6n = 10Pisa took 6 of 10
S4Heinzl5Pisa2n = 7Heinzl took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHeinzlPisaH − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.638.9+2.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHeinzlPisaBasisWin rate · lifetime352 / 644 vs 385 / 79854.7%48.3%352 / 644 vs 385 / 798Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.939.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HeinzlHeinzl 1.67/Pisa 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Heinzl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Heinzl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 06:15L. Heinzl—1112981R. Pisa—81411113
LAug 29 · 10:45L. Heinzl—111291192R. Pisa—714119113
WAug 28 · 06:00L. Heinzl—81411113R. Pisa—1112471
WJul 24 · 08:48L. Heinzl—1112113R. Pisa—81050
WJul 24 · 07:45L. Heinzl—91111153R. Pisa—1198131
LJul 9 · 16:36L. Heinzl—158971R. Pisa—131111113
LJul 9 · 14:30L. Heinzl—61160R. Pisa—1113113
WJul 7 · 07:15L. Heinzl—10111011123R. Pisa—127128102
WJul 2 · 19:45L. Heinzl—1218113R. Pisa—101650
WJun 30 · 07:30L. Heinzl—11119123R. Pisa—6711101
L. Heinzl10
WSep 7 · 06:15P. Wasik1.531410981L. Heinzl2.38121211113LSep 7 · 05:45L. Veigl2.50111111113L. Heinzl1.50781361LSep 3 · 08:14L. Heinzl1.6781181182M. Makara2.10116113113LSep 3 · 07:45L. Heinzl1.7381380M. Stibor2.001115113LSep 3 · 06:15L. Adam2.0091111113L. Heinzl1.73113791WSep 3 · 05:45M. Makara2.201131191L. Heinzl1.6113119113WSep 2 · 08:48O. Mezera3.40111140L. Heinzl1.301313113LSep 2 · 07:15M. Kovarik2.5011911143L. Heinzl1.508119121WSep 2 · 06:45L. Heinzl1.731111113L. Adam2.008960WSep 2 · 05:45L. Heinzl1.30111179113O. Mezera3.4069111162
R. Pisa10
LSep 3 · 20:14R. Pisa2.008250A. Snr1.731111113LSep 3 · 19:45T. Liska2.201111113R. Pisa1.617990WSep 3 · 18:45A. Snr1.571011731R. Pisa2.2512611113LSep 3 · 17:15M. Vyskocil1.8091112113R. Pisa1.911131011WSep 2 · 20:48R. Pisa1.8311129113M. Ullman1.833101191WSep 2 · 19:45R. Pisa1.7311118113J. Dolezal2.00381181LSep 2 · 18:15M. Ullman1.831191112113R. Pisa1.8391161462WSep 2 · 17:45S. Rejent1.83118571R. Pisa1.8361111113LAug 31 · 07:15R. Pisa1.7311111011122M. Makara2.00813127143WAug 31 · 06:15R. Pisa2.2081411113L. Heinzl1.611112981
Upcoming Matches
L. Heinzl
Nothing scheduled
R. Pisa
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