TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13063227
Played Sep 2Finished
Ondrej Mezera
Home
3.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
11131113411––––
Lukas Heinzl
Away
1.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingOndrej Mezera above · Lukas Heinzl below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 63 set 3, 4-11
63 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Mezera 2–5 Lukas Heinzl Ondrej Mezera has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Heinzl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Heinzl form (60%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMezera 3.40 / Heinzl 1.30
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Heinzl)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13063227
Mezera3.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 112 of 244
Down 0–1, comes back32% 45 of 139
Down 0–2, comes back16% 12 of 73
Heinzl1.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 155 of 262
Up 2–0, closes it95% 71 of 75
Up 1–0, closes it76% 112 of 147
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeMezera2wins
AwayHeinzl5wins
3 of 7 to a deciderHeinzl leads 5–2, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMezeran = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayHeinzl100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mezera2Heinzl5n = 7Heinzl took 5 of 7
S2Mezera3Heinzl4n = 7Heinzl took 4 of 7
S3Mezera4Heinzl3n = 7Mezera took 4 of 7
S4Mezera2Heinzl3n = 5Heinzl took 3 of 5
S5Mezera1Heinzl2n = 3Heinzl took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricMezeraHeinzlM − HBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match38.943.3−4.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMezeraHeinzlBasisWin rate · lifetime415 / 818 vs 353 / 64450.7%54.8%415 / 818 vs 353 / 644Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.939.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HeinzlMezera 3.40/Heinzl 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.7%
Heinzl · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Heinzl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 2 · 05:45O. Mezera—69111162L. Heinzl—111179113
LAug 10 · 16:29O. Mezera—8870L. Heinzl—1111113
WAug 10 · 15:15O. Mezera—1331411113L. Heinzl—1111121382
WJul 22 · 14:15O. Mezera—1116153L. Heinzl—814130
LJul 10 · 08:53O. Mezera—921171L. Heinzl—11118113
LJul 10 · 06:15O. Mezera—6114151L. Heinzl—11611173
LNov 25 · 08:15O. Mezera—81191182L. Heinzl—117115113
O. Mezera10
LSep 6 · 12:24M. Kocvara1.53119113113O. Mezera2.3871191172LSep 6 · 11:15O. Mezera2.20811771L. Adam1.6111511113LSep 6 · 10:15O. Mezera2.751112461J. Sr1.4091411113LSep 6 · 09:15O. Mezera2.208990M. Kocvara1.611111113LSep 5 · 20:44J. Sr1.331111113O. Mezera3.251440WSep 5 · 19:15L. Veigl1.53114115142O. Mezera2.38611511153WSep 5 · 18:45O. Mezera3.00121476123J. Sr1.3610121111102WSep 5 · 17:45O. Mezera2.00115811113J. Senk1.7341111862LSep 3 · 16:18O. Mezera2.7531111552J. Sr1.40116911113LSep 3 · 15:45S. Rejent1.531191111113O. Mezera2.3891141342
L. Heinzl10
WSep 7 · 06:15P. Wasik1.531410981L. Heinzl2.38121211113LSep 7 · 05:45L. Veigl2.50111111113L. Heinzl1.50781361LSep 3 · 08:14L. Heinzl1.6781181182M. Makara2.10116113113LSep 3 · 07:45L. Heinzl1.7381380M. Stibor2.001115113LSep 3 · 06:15L. Adam2.0091111113L. Heinzl1.73113791WSep 3 · 05:45M. Makara2.201131191L. Heinzl1.6113119113LSep 2 · 07:15M. Kovarik2.5011911143L. Heinzl1.508119121WSep 2 · 06:45L. Heinzl1.731111113L. Adam2.008960WSep 2 · 05:45L. Heinzl1.30111179113O. Mezera3.4069111162LSep 1 · 08:49V. Burylov1.8391111113L. Heinzl1.83116841
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