TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067639
Played Sep 3Finished
Adam Radkovsky
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1189111191113119
Jan Krames Sr
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Krames Sr to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAdam Radkovsky above · Jan Krames Sr below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 103 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Jan Krames Sr at 54.0%
103 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:29What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sr
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Radkovsky 1638 vs Sr 1663
Sr
Wrong
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Radkovsky 40% vs Sr 20%
Radkovsky
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Radkovsky 40% vs Sr 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Radkovsky -1 · Sr -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sr form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRadkovsky 2.00 / Sr 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sr)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13067639
Radkovsky2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog49% won 35 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back27% 7 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back15% 2 of 13
Sr1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 117 of 208
Up 2–0, closes it89% 63 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it76% 97 of 127
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricRadkovskySrBasisWin rate · lifetime178 / 314 vs 384 / 69856.7%55%178 / 314 vs 384 / 698Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.240.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SrRadkovsky 2.00/Sr 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Radkovsky won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Radkovsky10
WSep 3 · 16:48S. Rejent1.504640A. Radkovsky2.501111113LSep 3 · 14:15A. Radkovsky2.2059100S. Rejent1.611111123WSep 3 · 13:15A. Radkovsky1.671111113O. Mezera2.106660WSep 2 · 12:13A. Radkovsky2.1011191217113V. Grubr1.67817141992LSep 2 · 11:45J. Dolezal1.5311511133A. Radkovsky2.388116111LSep 2 · 10:45M. Vyskocil1.671111113A. Radkovsky2.108560WSep 2 · 09:15V. Grubr1.61691181A. Radkovsky2.2011117113LSep 1 · 12:23T. Liska1.5391111123A. Radkovsky2.381176101LSep 1 · 11:15V. Grubr1.67611511113A. Radkovsky2.1011611792LSep 1 · 10:45A. Radkovsky2.10711571T. Liska1.6711611113
J. Sr10
WSep 6 · 12:54J. Sr1.611311113L. Adam2.2011760WSep 6 · 11:45J. Sr1.40111112113M. Kocvara2.75761481WSep 6 · 10:15O. Mezera2.751112461J. Sr1.4091411113WSep 6 · 09:45L. Adam2.104760J. Sr1.671111113WSep 5 · 20:44J. Sr1.331111113O. Mezera3.251440WSep 5 · 19:45J. Senk2.755820J. Sr1.401111113LSep 5 · 18:45O. Mezera3.00121476123J. Sr1.3610121111102WSep 5 · 17:15L. Veigl2.25911691J. Sr1.5711511113WSep 4 · 20:53J. Sr1.7311118113D. Gasparovic2.00761121LSep 4 · 19:45J. Sr1.9111117662V. Burylov1.80531111113
Upcoming Matches
A. Radkovsky
J. Sr
Nothing scheduled
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