TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049676
Played Aug 31Finished
Lukas Svoboda
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117117118––––
Vojtech Grubr
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:25 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeLukas Svoboda to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Svoboda above · Vojtech Grubr below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 55 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Lukas Svoboda at 58.9%
55 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Svoboda 6–0 Vojtech Grubr Vojtech Grubr has won 0 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:25What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Svoboda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-0 in 6
Svoboda
Correct
gap of 6 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svoboda 1607 vs Grubr 1622
Grubr
Wrong
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svoboda 40% vs Grubr 80%
Grubr
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svoboda 40% vs Grubr 60%
Grubr
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Svoboda -1 · Grubr -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Svoboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grubr form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvoboda 1.61 / Grubr 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Svoboda)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13049676
Svoboda1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 19 of 32
Up 2–0, closes it88% 7 of 8
Up 1–0, closes it77% 13 of 17
Grubr2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 70 of 159
Down 0–1, comes back30% 26 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back9% 4 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSvoboda6wins
AwayGrubr0wins
2 of 6 to a deciderSvoboda leads 6–0, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvoboda100%5 of 5
AwayGrubrn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svoboda5Grubr1n = 6Svoboda took 5 of 6
S2Svoboda5Grubr1n = 6Svoboda took 5 of 6
S3Svoboda4Grubr2n = 6Svoboda took 4 of 6
S4Svoboda2Grubr2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricSvobodaGrubrS − GBasisWins60+6in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match41.532.3+9.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvobodaGrubrBasisWin rate · lifetime65 / 147 vs 228 / 45444.2%50.2%65 / 147 vs 228 / 454Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.140.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaSvoboda 1.61/Grubr 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Svoboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WFeb 19 · 09:24L. Svoboda—411118113V. Grubr—11761152
WFeb 19 · 06:15L. Svoboda—11126113V. Grubr—9101131
WApr 22 · 07:45L. Svoboda—1111113V. Grubr—8570
WMar 19 · 07:15L. Svoboda—1781111113V. Grubr—1511513132
WMar 3 · 21:55L. Svoboda—1111113V. Grubr—5740
WMar 3 · 18:15L. Svoboda—11117113V. Grubr—751151
L. Svoboda10
WAug 31 · 16:49V. Grubr2.388880L. Svoboda1.531111113WAug 31 · 15:15L. Svoboda1.5791111113O. Mezera2.25119561WAug 31 · 14:15L. Svoboda1.8312116123A. Radkovsky1.8310511101LAug 15 · 08:50L. Svoboda2.38129771J. Chalupa1.53101111113WAug 15 · 07:45O. Mezera2.00581191L. Svoboda1.7311117113WAug 15 · 06:45M. Kocvara1.6712714642L. Svoboda2.1010111211113LAug 15 · 05:15J. Chalupa1.5311711123L. Svoboda2.386117101LAug 14 · 20:18L. Svoboda1.611151091O. Mezera2.2041112113LAug 14 · 19:45L. Svoboda1.738116101M. Vyskocil2.0011711123WAug 14 · 18:15O. Mezera2.00121111392L. Svoboda1.73147711113
V. Grubr10
LSep 2 · 12:13A. Radkovsky2.1011191217113V. Grubr1.67817141992LSep 2 · 11:15V. Grubr1.53118281M. Vyskocil2.3891111113WSep 2 · 10:15V. Grubr1.67117511113J. Dolezal2.1061111972LSep 2 · 09:15V. Grubr1.61691181A. Radkovsky2.2011117113WSep 1 · 12:54L. Rulc1.831111810102V. Grubr1.83881112123WSep 1 · 11:15V. Grubr1.67611511113A. Radkovsky2.1011611792LSep 1 · 10:15V. Grubr1.834116101L. Rulc1.8311511123WSep 1 · 09:15V. Grubr1.911111113T. Liska1.809990LAug 31 · 16:49V. Grubr2.388880L. Svoboda1.531111113WAug 31 · 15:45A. Radkovsky1.831011371V. Grubr1.8312911113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.