TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13057940
Played Sep 1Finished
Michal Makara
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
5111210119411711
Martin Kocvara
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingMichal Makara above · Martin Kocvara below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 88 set 5, 7-11
88 points drawn · the score is 3 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Michal Makara 5–8 Martin Kocvara Michal Makara has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Kocvara)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kocvara form (20%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMakara 2.75 / Kocvara 1.40
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Kocvara)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13057940
Makara2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 177 of 382
Down 0–1, comes back26% 51 of 196
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 87
Kocvara1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 24 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it73% 19 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMakara3wins
AwayKocvara7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKocvara leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMakaran = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKocvara75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Makara2Kocvara8n = 10Kocvara took 8 of 10
S2Makara7Kocvara3n = 10Makara took 7 of 10
S3Makara5Kocvara5n = 10split evenly
S4Makara2Kocvara7n = 9Kocvara took 7 of 9
S5Makara1Kocvara2n = 3Kocvara took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMakaraKocvaraM − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match38.143.7−5.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMakaraKocvaraBasisWin rate · lifetime495 / 1026 vs 72 / 12748.3%56.7%495 / 1026 vs 72 / 127Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.339.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KocvaraMakara 2.75/Kocvara 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.1%
Kocvara · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kocvara won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 07:15M. Makara—911118113M. Kocvara—11891172
LAug 30 · 20:48M. Makara—1011541M. Kocvara—12911113
WAug 30 · 17:15M. Makara—31114113M. Kocvara—1151291
LAug 5 · 09:15M. Makara—211591M. Kocvara—11411113
LJul 26 · 09:45M. Makara—81111532M. Kocvara—118811113
LJul 9 · 06:45M. Makara—881191M. Kocvara—11119113
LJul 2 · 08:31M. Makara—129771M. Kocvara—101111113
WJul 2 · 06:15M. Makara—13117203M. Kocvara—11911181
LJun 28 · 08:58M. Makara—511100M. Kocvara—1113123
LJun 28 · 07:00M. Makara—811111452M. Kocvara—119816113
M. Makara10
WSep 4 · 12:29M. Makara2.101211113V. Burylov1.6710940LSep 4 · 12:00M. Makara2.006650L. Adam1.731111113LSep 4 · 10:30V. Burylov1.611171114113M. Makara2.2061171692LSep 4 · 10:00M. Kocvara1.731113123M. Makara2.00611100WSep 3 · 08:14L. Heinzl1.6781181182M. Makara2.10116113113LSep 3 · 07:15L. Adam1.731151211113M. Makara2.0091114772LSep 3 · 06:45M. Makara2.6311970M. Stibor1.441311113LSep 3 · 05:45M. Makara2.201131191L. Heinzl1.6113119113WSep 1 · 07:15M. Kocvara1.6711891172M. Makara2.10911118113LSep 1 · 06:45M. Makara1.8351350V. Burylov1.831115113
M. Kocvara10
WSep 6 · 12:24M. Kocvara1.53119113113O. Mezera2.3871191172LSep 6 · 11:45J. Sr1.40111112113M. Kocvara2.75761481LSep 6 · 10:45L. Adam1.801111113M. Kocvara1.919480WSep 6 · 09:15O. Mezera2.208990M. Kocvara1.611111113LSep 4 · 12:59L. Adam2.201111113M. Kocvara1.617480WSep 4 · 11:30V. Burylov1.80991181M. Kocvara1.9111113113WSep 4 · 11:00M. Kocvara1.67115211113L. Adam2.1031111742WSep 4 · 10:00M. Kocvara1.731113123M. Makara2.00611100LSep 1 · 07:15M. Kocvara1.6711891172M. Makara2.10911118113LSep 1 · 06:15M. Kocvara2.75115561L. Heinzl1.4091111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Makara
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