TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12459227
Played Aug 19Finished
Matej Kovarik
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1191171012511117
Lukas Rulc
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
How it is goingMatej Kovarik above · Lukas Rulc below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 94 set 5, 11-7
94 points played in total.
H2H Matej Kovarik 4–6 Lukas Rulc Matej Kovarik has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Rulc)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rulc form (0%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKovarik 2.10 / Rulc 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Rulc)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #12459227
Kovarik2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 10 of 29
Down 0–1, comes back21% 4 of 19
Down 0–2, comes back17% 2 of 12
Rulc1.67
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 106 of 185
Up 2–0, closes it84% 47 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it68% 76 of 112
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKovarik4wins
AwayRulc6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderRulc leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKovarik75%3 of 4
AwayRulc83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kovarik4Rulc6n = 10Rulc took 6 of 10
S2Kovarik5Rulc5n = 10split evenly
S3Kovarik2Rulc8n = 10Rulc took 8 of 10
S4Kovarik3Rulc2n = 5Kovarik took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricKovarikRulcK − RBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.536.3−4.8per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKovarikRulcBasisWin rate · lifetime49 / 95 vs 348 / 70151.6%49.6%49 / 95 vs 348 / 701Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RulcKovarik 2.10/Rulc 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.8%
Rulc · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kovarik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 19 · 06:15M. Kovarik—11118123L. Rulc—8811101
LJun 17 · 08:13M. Kovarik—52100L. Rulc—1111123
LJun 17 · 07:15M. Kovarik—6680L. Rulc—1111113
LJun 3 · 08:19M. Kovarik—111111352L. Rulc—139711113
WJun 3 · 06:45M. Kovarik—911411113L. Rulc—11311492
LMay 1 · 06:45M. Kovarik—127951L. Rulc—101111113
WFeb 18 · 13:00M. Kovarik—1111103L. Rulc—8570
LSep 4 · 08:45M. Kovarik—41080L. Rulc—1112113
WSep 4 · 06:45M. Kovarik—13138113L. Rulc—11111171
LApr 6 · 10:45M. Kovarik—6740L. Rulc—1111113
M. Kovarik10
WSep 2 · 07:15M. Kovarik2.5011911143L. Heinzl1.508119121LSep 2 · 06:15M. Kovarik1.5311117772O. Mezera2.38831111113LSep 2 · 05:15M. Kovarik2.2576100L. Adam1.571111123LAug 26 · 08:23M. Stibor1.4011164113M. Kovarik2.757141191LAug 26 · 07:15M. Kovarik2.5091350M. Stibor1.501115113LAug 26 · 06:15M. Kovarik2.20711101172L. Adam1.61119127113LAug 26 · 05:15M. Kovarik1.80101111992V. Grubr1.91129811113WAug 19 · 07:45M. Kovarik2.1011117113V. Burylov1.67791141WAug 19 · 06:15L. Rulc1.578811101M. Kovarik2.2511118123LAug 19 · 05:45V. Grubr1.831111113M. Kovarik1.837990
L. Rulc10
LSep 1 · 12:54L. Rulc1.831111810102V. Grubr1.83881112123WSep 1 · 11:45L. Rulc1.67121189123T. Liska2.101041111102WSep 1 · 10:15V. Grubr1.834116101L. Rulc1.8311511123LSep 1 · 09:45A. Radkovsky2.101111113L. Rulc1.677660LAug 31 · 12:48M. Kocvara2.631111113L. Rulc1.447870WAug 31 · 11:45L. Rulc1.6711711113M. Kocvara2.10811671LAug 31 · 10:15M. Stibor1.501161111123L. Rulc2.50131197102LAug 31 · 09:45M. Vyskocil2.75139114113L. Rulc1.40111181132LAug 29 · 13:05M. Makara1.801512113L. Rulc1.91131090LAug 19 · 06:15L. Rulc1.578811101M. Kovarik2.2511118123
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.