TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049367
Played Aug 31Finished
Marek Vyskocil
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1311911118411113
Lukas Rulc
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:48 and never touched — 66.3% is still 66.3%
Graded at full timeLukas Rulc to win
66.3%
66.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMarek Vyskocil above · Lukas Rulc below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 92 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Lukas Rulc at 66.3%
92 points played in total.
H2H Marek Vyskocil 0–2 Lukas Rulc Marek Vyskocil has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:48What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Rulc
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Vyskocil 1656 vs Rulc 1615
Vyskocil
Correct
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vyskocil 60% vs Rulc 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vyskocil 60% vs Rulc 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vyskocil +3 · Rulc -1
Vyskocil
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Rulc)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rulc form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVyskocil 2.75 / Rulc 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Rulc)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13049367
Vyskocil2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 28 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back31% 9 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back22% 2 of 9
Rulc1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 105 of 185
Up 2–0, closes it85% 46 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it69% 74 of 107
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeVyskocil0wins
AwayRulc2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderRulc leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricVyskocilRulcV − RBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match34.539.0−4.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVyskocilRulcBasisWin rate · lifetime215 / 401 vs 348 / 70053.6%49.7%215 / 401 vs 348 / 700Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.439.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RulcVyskocil 2.75/Rulc 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.3%
Rulc · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vyskocil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 14 · 10:15M. Vyskocil—51080L. Rulc—1112113
LJan 21 · 12:45M. Vyskocil—11711892L. Rulc—811311113
M. Vyskocil10
WSep 4 · 08:48T. Liska1.91911981M. Vyskocil1.8011811113LSep 4 · 07:45M. Vyskocil1.73101090T. Liska2.001212113WSep 4 · 06:15P. Fencl2.201111115102M. Vyskocil1.61613911123WSep 4 · 05:45J. Senk1.7311860M. Vyskocil2.001311113WSep 3 · 20:43T. Liska1.919101161M. Vyskocil1.8011126113LSep 3 · 19:15M. Vyskocil1.83691111102A. Snr1.83111188123LSep 3 · 18:15M. Vyskocil1.67117117112T. Liska2.10711811133WSep 3 · 17:15M. Vyskocil1.8091112113R. Pisa1.911131011LSep 2 · 12:44J. Dolezal1.831111910113M. Vyskocil1.8384111282WSep 2 · 11:15V. Grubr1.53118281M. Vyskocil2.3891111113
L. Rulc10
LSep 1 · 12:54L. Rulc1.831111810102V. Grubr1.83881112123WSep 1 · 11:45L. Rulc1.67121189123T. Liska2.101041111102WSep 1 · 10:15V. Grubr1.834116101L. Rulc1.8311511123LSep 1 · 09:45A. Radkovsky2.101111113L. Rulc1.677660LAug 31 · 12:48M. Kocvara2.631111113L. Rulc1.447870WAug 31 · 11:45L. Rulc1.6711711113M. Kocvara2.10811671LAug 31 · 10:15M. Stibor1.501161111123L. Rulc2.50131197102LAug 29 · 13:05M. Makara1.801512113L. Rulc1.91131090WAug 29 · 12:00L. Rulc1.91118911113M. Makara1.8091111662WAug 29 · 10:30T. Liska2.2511981142L. Rulc1.57911119113
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