TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037421
Played Aug 29Finished
Lukas Rulc
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119811911116116
Michal Makara
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:22 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeMichal Makara to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingLukas Rulc above · Michal Makara below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 93 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Michal Makara at 54.3%
93 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Rulc 42–42 Michal Makara Dead even across their 84 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:22What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Makara
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-42 in 84
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rulc 1616 vs Makara 1664
Makara
Wrong
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rulc 60% vs Makara 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rulc 40% vs Makara 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rulc +2 · Makara +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Makara)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRulc 1.91 / Makara 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Makara)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13037421
Rulc1.91
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 66 of 155
Down 0–1, comes back16% 10 of 64
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Makara1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 42 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it67% 30 of 45
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRulc4wins
AwayMakara6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMakara leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRulc75%3 of 4
AwayMakara83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rulc4Makara6n = 10Makara took 6 of 10
S2Rulc5Makara5n = 10split evenly
S3Rulc5Makara5n = 10split evenly
S4Rulc2Makara7n = 9Makara took 7 of 9
S5Rulc2Makara1n = 3Rulc took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRulcMakaraR − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.340.1+0.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRulcMakaraBasisWin rate · lifetime347 / 698 vs 485 / 100549.7%48.3%347 / 698 vs 485 / 1005Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.739.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MakaraRulc 1.91/Makara 1.80
Hit
What we said
54%
Makara · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Rulc won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 10 · 05:15L. Rulc—1111114113M. Makara—51311152
LAug 9 · 07:45L. Rulc—1091181M. Makara—12119113
LAug 7 · 09:09L. Rulc—11117782M. Makara—361111113
LAug 7 · 07:00L. Rulc—991171M. Makara—11119113
WAug 2 · 12:14L. Rulc—11911143M. Makara—1119121
LAug 2 · 10:15L. Rulc—1011781M. Makara—12711113
LJul 29 · 08:58L. Rulc—7123111M. Makara—111011133
WJul 29 · 08:00L. Rulc—4111110113M. Makara—11871222
WJul 28 · 07:00L. Rulc—11138123M. Makara—91111101
LJul 10 · 08:24L. Rulc—138110M. Makara—1511133
L. Rulc10
LSep 1 · 12:54L. Rulc1.831111810102V. Grubr1.83881112123WSep 1 · 11:45L. Rulc1.67121189123T. Liska2.101041111102WSep 1 · 10:15V. Grubr1.834116101L. Rulc1.8311511123LSep 1 · 09:45A. Radkovsky2.101111113L. Rulc1.677660LAug 31 · 12:48M. Kocvara2.631111113L. Rulc1.447870WAug 31 · 11:45L. Rulc1.6711711113M. Kocvara2.10811671LAug 31 · 10:15M. Stibor1.501161111123L. Rulc2.50131197102LAug 31 · 09:45M. Vyskocil2.75139114113L. Rulc1.40111181132LAug 29 · 13:05M. Makara1.801512113L. Rulc1.91131090WAug 29 · 10:30T. Liska2.2511981142L. Rulc1.57911119113
M. Makara10
WSep 4 · 12:29M. Makara2.101211113V. Burylov1.6710940LSep 4 · 12:00M. Makara2.006650L. Adam1.731111113LSep 4 · 10:30V. Burylov1.611171114113M. Makara2.2061171692LSep 4 · 10:00M. Kocvara1.731113123M. Makara2.00611100WSep 3 · 08:14L. Heinzl1.6781181182M. Makara2.10116113113LSep 3 · 07:15L. Adam1.731151211113M. Makara2.0091114772LSep 3 · 06:45M. Makara2.6311970M. Stibor1.441311113LSep 3 · 05:45M. Makara2.201131191L. Heinzl1.6113119113LSep 1 · 08:21M. Makara2.7551211472M. Kocvara1.401110911113WAug 29 · 13:05M. Makara1.801512113L. Rulc1.91131090
Upcoming Matches
L. Rulc
Nothing scheduled
M. Makara
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