TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037720
Played Aug 29Finished
Tomas Liska
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119911811119411
Lukas Rulc
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:13 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeLukas Rulc to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Liska above · Lukas Rulc below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 4-11
Point 94 set 5, 4-11 — our read held Lukas Rulc at 59.7%
94 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Liska 54–66 Lukas Rulc Tomas Liska has won 54 of their 120 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:13What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Rulc
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
54-66 in 120
Rulc
Correct
gap of 12 in 120, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Liska 1604 vs Rulc 1605
Rulc
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Liska 40% vs Rulc 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Liska 50% vs Rulc 30%
Liska
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Liska +1 · Rulc +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Rulc)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rulc form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLiska 2.25 / Rulc 1.57
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Rulc)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13037720
Liska2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 98 of 244
Down 0–1, comes back18% 25 of 137
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 57
Rulc1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 105 of 188
Up 2–0, closes it84% 47 of 56
Up 1–0, closes it68% 75 of 111
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLiska4wins
AwayRulc6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderRulc leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLiska100%4 of 4
AwayRulc100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Liska4Rulc6n = 10Rulc took 6 of 10
S2Liska6Rulc4n = 10Liska took 6 of 10
S3Liska6Rulc4n = 10Liska took 6 of 10
S4Liska5Rulc4n = 9Liska took 5 of 9
S5Liska1Rulc4n = 5Rulc took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLiskaRulcL − RBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.240.9−0.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLiskaRulcBasisWin rate · lifetime400 / 871 vs 346 / 69745.9%49.6%400 / 871 vs 346 / 697Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.339.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RulcLiska 2.25/Rulc 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Rulc · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Rulc won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 17 · 08:45T. Liska—118811113L. Rulc—81111692
WAug 17 · 07:45T. Liska—12911113L. Rulc—1011821
LAug 4 · 05:15T. Liska—31111672L. Rulc—119911113
LAug 2 · 19:45T. Liska—61111742L. Rulc—114911113
LJul 28 · 06:00T. Liska—71181182L. Rulc—112119113
WJul 5 · 08:18T. Liska—1111123L. Rulc—98100
LJul 5 · 05:15T. Liska—912791L. Rulc—111011113
WJun 28 · 08:28T. Liska—121111113L. Rulc—1013951
LJun 28 · 06:30T. Liska—8111181L. Rulc—11513113
LJun 16 · 06:45T. Liska—34111152L. Rulc—111166113
T. Liska10
LSep 4 · 08:48T. Liska1.91911981M. Vyskocil1.8011811113WSep 4 · 07:45M. Vyskocil1.73101090T. Liska2.001212113WSep 4 · 06:45J. Senk2.207990T. Liska1.611111113WSep 4 · 05:15P. Fencl1.8011111010102T. Liska1.91761212123LSep 3 · 20:43T. Liska1.919101161M. Vyskocil1.8011126113WSep 3 · 19:45T. Liska2.201111113R. Pisa1.617990WSep 3 · 18:15M. Vyskocil1.67117117112T. Liska2.10711811133WSep 3 · 17:45A. Snr1.83119561T. Liska1.8371111113WSep 1 · 12:23T. Liska1.5391111123A. Radkovsky2.381176101LSep 1 · 11:45L. Rulc1.67121189123T. Liska2.101041111102
L. Rulc10
LSep 1 · 12:54L. Rulc1.831111810102V. Grubr1.83881112123WSep 1 · 11:45L. Rulc1.67121189123T. Liska2.101041111102WSep 1 · 10:15V. Grubr1.834116101L. Rulc1.8311511123LSep 1 · 09:45A. Radkovsky2.101111113L. Rulc1.677660LAug 31 · 12:48M. Kocvara2.631111113L. Rulc1.447870WAug 31 · 11:45L. Rulc1.6711711113M. Kocvara2.10811671LAug 31 · 10:15M. Stibor1.501161111123L. Rulc2.50131197102LAug 31 · 09:45M. Vyskocil2.75139114113L. Rulc1.40111181132LAug 29 · 13:05M. Makara1.801512113L. Rulc1.91131090WAug 29 · 12:00L. Rulc1.91118911113M. Makara1.8091111662
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