TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13052676
Played Aug 31Finished
Martin Kocvara
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117118117––––
Lukas Rulc
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingMartin Kocvara above · Lukas Rulc below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 55 set 3, 11-7
55 points played in total.
H2H Martin Kocvara 3–6 Lukas Rulc Martin Kocvara has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Rulc)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rulc form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKocvara 2.63 / Rulc 1.44
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Rulc)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13052676
Kocvara2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog58% won 46 of 80
Down 0–1, comes back49% 20 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back28% 5 of 18
Rulc1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 105 of 185
Up 2–0, closes it85% 46 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it69% 74 of 107
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeKocvara3wins
AwayRulc6wins
2 of 9 to a deciderRulc leads 6–3, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKocvara0%0 of 3
AwayRulc50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kocvara3Rulc6n = 9Rulc took 6 of 9
S2Kocvara5Rulc4n = 9Kocvara took 5 of 9
S3Kocvara4Rulc5n = 9Rulc took 5 of 9
S4Kocvara3Rulc6n = 9Rulc took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away556%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricKocvaraRulcK − RBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match37.440.8−3.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKocvaraRulcBasisWin rate · lifetime71 / 123 vs 349 / 70357.7%49.6%71 / 123 vs 349 / 703Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.939.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RulcKocvara 2.63/Rulc 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.9%
Rulc · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kocvara won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 31 · 11:45M. Kocvara—811671L. Rulc—11711113
WAug 9 · 20:44M. Kocvara—71111113L. Rulc—115871
LAug 9 · 19:45M. Kocvara—1156101L. Rulc—81111123
WJun 28 · 08:00M. Kocvara—61111113L. Rulc—117971
LJun 18 · 08:13M. Kocvara—711551L. Rulc—11811113
LJun 18 · 07:15M. Kocvara—119361L. Rulc—41111113
WJun 17 · 05:15M. Kocvara—9111111113L. Rulc—11613972
LJun 7 · 12:29M. Kocvara—881151L. Rulc—11119113
LJun 7 · 11:15M. Kocvara—117117162L. Rulc—711711183
M. Kocvara10
WSep 6 · 12:24M. Kocvara1.53119113113O. Mezera2.3871191172LSep 6 · 11:45J. Sr1.40111112113M. Kocvara2.75761481LSep 6 · 10:45L. Adam1.801111113M. Kocvara1.919480WSep 6 · 09:15O. Mezera2.208990M. Kocvara1.611111113LSep 4 · 12:59L. Adam2.201111113M. Kocvara1.617480WSep 4 · 11:30V. Burylov1.80991181M. Kocvara1.9111113113WSep 4 · 11:00M. Kocvara1.67115211113L. Adam2.1031111742WSep 4 · 10:00M. Kocvara1.731113123M. Makara2.00611100WSep 1 · 08:21M. Makara2.7551211472M. Kocvara1.401110911113LSep 1 · 07:15M. Kocvara1.6711891172M. Makara2.10911118113
L. Rulc10
LSep 1 · 12:54L. Rulc1.831111810102V. Grubr1.83881112123WSep 1 · 11:45L. Rulc1.67121189123T. Liska2.101041111102WSep 1 · 10:15V. Grubr1.834116101L. Rulc1.8311511123LSep 1 · 09:45A. Radkovsky2.101111113L. Rulc1.677660WAug 31 · 11:45L. Rulc1.6711711113M. Kocvara2.10811671LAug 31 · 10:15M. Stibor1.501161111123L. Rulc2.50131197102LAug 31 · 09:45M. Vyskocil2.75139114113L. Rulc1.40111181132LAug 29 · 13:05M. Makara1.801512113L. Rulc1.91131090WAug 29 · 12:00L. Rulc1.91118911113M. Makara1.8091111662WAug 29 · 10:30T. Liska2.2511981142L. Rulc1.57911119113
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