TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084073
Played Sep 6Finished
Stepan Rejent
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411111311––––
Josef Chalupa
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:00 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeJosef Chalupa to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingStepan Rejent above · Josef Chalupa below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 1-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 41 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Josef Chalupa at 66.1%
41 points played in total.
H2H Stepan Rejent 10–16 Josef Chalupa Stepan Rejent has won 10 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:00What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Chalupa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-16 in 26
Chalupa
Correct
gap of 6 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rejent 1662 vs Chalupa 1805
Chalupa
Correct
both rated, 143 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rejent 60% vs Chalupa 40%
Rejent
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rejent 50% vs Chalupa 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rejent +1 · Chalupa +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Chalupa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chalupa form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRejent 2.63 / Chalupa 1.44
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Chalupa)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13084073
Rejent2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 93 of 225
Down 0–1, comes back24% 31 of 127
Down 0–2, comes back8% 5 of 66
Chalupa1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 56 of 96
Up 2–0, closes it96% 26 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it77% 34 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRejent4wins
AwayChalupa6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderChalupa leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRejent50%3 of 6
AwayChalupa75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rejent6Chalupa4n = 10Rejent took 6 of 10
S2Rejent3Chalupa7n = 10Chalupa took 7 of 10
S3Rejent4Chalupa6n = 10Chalupa took 6 of 10
S4Rejent2Chalupa5n = 7Chalupa took 5 of 7
S5Rejent2Chalupa1n = 3Rejent took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricRejentChalupaR − CBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.440.4−5.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRejentChalupaBasisWin rate · lifetime363 / 767 vs 202 / 36447.3%55.5%363 / 767 vs 202 / 364Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.940.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChalupaRejent 2.63/Chalupa 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.1%
Chalupa · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Chalupa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 22 · 17:15S. Rejent—1211113J. Chalupa—10860
WJul 12 · 14:15S. Rejent—1111815113J. Chalupa—139111382
LJun 30 · 20:43S. Rejent—84100J. Chalupa—1111123
LJun 30 · 17:15S. Rejent—11911772J. Chalupa—811511113
WMay 29 · 17:30S. Rejent—115137113J. Chalupa—811111192
LMay 26 · 17:30S. Rejent—1155101J. Chalupa—61111123
LJan 13 · 15:15S. Rejent—841141J. Chalupa—11119113
LDec 27 · 13:45S. Rejent—151991J. Chalupa—131111113
WDec 27 · 11:45S. Rejent—11116113J. Chalupa—871181
LNov 24 · 15:15S. Rejent—27100J. Chalupa—1111123
S. Rejent10
LSep 6 · 16:29J. Chalupa1.4411812113S. Rejent2.638111071LSep 6 · 15:15S. Rejent2.63511951D. Gasparovic1.4411611113WSep 6 · 13:15S. Rejent1.91691111153V. Burylov1.80111168132LSep 3 · 16:48S. Rejent1.504640A. Radkovsky2.501111113WSep 3 · 15:45S. Rejent1.531191111113O. Mezera2.3891141342WSep 3 · 14:15A. Radkovsky2.2059100S. Rejent1.611111123LSep 3 · 13:45J. Sr1.441111113S. Rejent2.635960LSep 2 · 20:20J. Dolezal2.101111011113S. Rejent1.6741112732WSep 2 · 19:15M. Ullman2.10911101172S. Rejent1.67116124113WSep 2 · 18:45S. Rejent1.67111114123J. Dolezal2.1013212101
J. Chalupa10
WSep 6 · 16:29J. Chalupa1.4411812113S. Rejent2.638111071LSep 6 · 15:45J. Chalupa1.80111011992V. Burylov1.91812911113LSep 6 · 13:45D. Gasparovic2.1081111113J. Chalupa1.67116791WSep 5 · 08:29J. Chalupa1.61121211133D. Gasparovic2.20101013111LSep 5 · 07:45L. Veigl2.10311811113J. Chalupa1.6711911982WSep 5 · 06:45D. Gasparovic2.20911521J. Chalupa1.6111711113LSep 5 · 05:15M. Zelinka1.83611911113J. Chalupa1.8311811992LAug 23 · 13:05J. Chalupa1.831271291L. Heinzl1.83101114113LAug 23 · 12:00L. Heinzl1.8311712133J. Chalupa1.8341110111WAug 23 · 11:00J. Sr1.8313121111102J. Chalupa1.831510136123
Upcoming Matches
S. Rejent
J. Chalupa
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