TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079155
Played Sep 5Finished
Matus Zelinka
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611118911119119
Josef Chalupa
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:34 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJosef Chalupa to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMatus Zelinka above · Josef Chalupa below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 96 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Josef Chalupa at 54.0%
96 points played in total.
H2H Matus Zelinka 20–20 Josef Chalupa Dead even across their 40 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:34What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Chalupa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-20 in 40
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zelinka 1707 vs Chalupa 1805
Chalupa
Wrong
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zelinka 60% vs Chalupa 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zelinka 50% vs Chalupa 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zelinka -1 · Chalupa -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Chalupa)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZelinka 1.83 / Chalupa 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Chalupa)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13079155
Zelinka1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Chalupa1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZelinka6wins
AwayChalupa4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderZelinka leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZelinka66.7%4 of 6
AwayChalupa50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zelinka6Chalupa4n = 10Zelinka took 6 of 10
S2Zelinka3Chalupa7n = 10Chalupa took 7 of 10
S3Zelinka4Chalupa6n = 10Chalupa took 6 of 10
S4Zelinka7Chalupa3n = 10Zelinka took 7 of 10
S5Zelinka3Chalupa1n = 4Zelinka took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZelinkaChalupaZ − CBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match44.243.1+1.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZelinkaChalupaBasisWin rate · lifetime195 / 372 vs 206 / 36852.4%56%195 / 372 vs 206 / 368Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.840.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChalupaZelinka 1.83/Chalupa 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Chalupa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zelinka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LApr 12 · 08:43M. Zelinka—771131J. Chalupa—11117113
LApr 12 · 05:45M. Zelinka—13811111J. Chalupa—15119133
LMar 26 · 12:45M. Zelinka—117111182J. Chalupa—611138113
WMar 25 · 14:45M. Zelinka—81111163J. Chalupa—1184141
WMar 17 · 15:45M. Zelinka—1111811133J. Chalupa—913113112
WMar 10 · 11:30M. Zelinka—11119113J. Chalupa—891141
WFeb 5 · 11:45M. Zelinka—119611113J. Chalupa—51111762
WJan 26 · 09:55M. Zelinka—61111193J. Chalupa—1179171
LJan 26 · 07:45M. Zelinka—1799111J. Chalupa—151111133
WJan 20 · 06:30M. Zelinka—113411113J. Chalupa—71111692
M. Zelinka10
LSep 7 · 06:45L. Veigl2.3811611113M. Zelinka1.53911951LSep 7 · 05:15P. Wasik1.531110117113M. Zelinka2.3831281182LSep 5 · 09:00L. Veigl2.2012611113M. Zelinka1.611011971WSep 5 · 07:15M. Zelinka2.001171312123D. Gasparovic1.739111114102LSep 5 · 06:15M. Zelinka1.50811881L. Veigl2.5011911113LAug 30 · 08:28M. Zelinka1.73761181R. Pisa2.0011115113WAug 30 · 07:45V. Burylov1.801314111082M. Zelinka1.911512912113WAug 30 · 06:45R. Pisa2.00111011992M. Zelinka1.73612411113LAug 30 · 05:15T. Liska2.1011119113M. Zelinka1.67891181WAug 28 · 16:19J. Sr2.02100M. Zelinka1.70121
J. Chalupa10
WSep 6 · 16:29J. Chalupa1.4411812113S. Rejent2.638111071LSep 6 · 15:45J. Chalupa1.80111011992V. Burylov1.91812911113WSep 6 · 14:15S. Rejent2.634130J. Chalupa1.441111113LSep 6 · 13:45D. Gasparovic2.1081111113J. Chalupa1.67116791WSep 5 · 08:29J. Chalupa1.61121211133D. Gasparovic2.20101013111LSep 5 · 07:45L. Veigl2.10311811113J. Chalupa1.6711911982WSep 5 · 06:45D. Gasparovic2.20911521J. Chalupa1.6111711113LAug 23 · 13:05J. Chalupa1.831271291L. Heinzl1.83101114113LAug 23 · 12:00L. Heinzl1.8311712133J. Chalupa1.8341110111WAug 23 · 11:00J. Sr1.8313121111102J. Chalupa1.831510136123
Upcoming Matches
M. Zelinka
J. Chalupa
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.