TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13043756
Played Aug 30Finished
Volodymyr Burylov
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
131514121191012811
Matus Zelinka
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:16 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Burylov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVolodymyr Burylov above · Matus Zelinka below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 115 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Volodymyr Burylov at 54.0%
115 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Burylov 15–11 Matus Zelinka Matus Zelinka has won 11 of their 26 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:16What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Burylov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-11 in 26
Burylov
Wrong
gap of 4 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Burylov 1732 vs Zelinka 1707
Burylov
Wrong
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Burylov 80% vs Zelinka 60%
Burylov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Burylov 60% vs Zelinka 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Burylov +4 · Zelinka +1
Burylov
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Burylov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Burylov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBurylov 1.80 / Zelinka 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Burylov)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13043756
Burylov1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite43% won 43 of 99
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it64% 29 of 45
Zelinka1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog56% won 35 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back42% 16 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBurylov5wins
AwayZelinka5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBurylov80%4 of 5
AwayZelinka80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Burylov5Zelinka5n = 10split evenly
S2Burylov7Zelinka3n = 10Burylov took 7 of 10
S3Burylov5Zelinka5n = 10split evenly
S4Burylov6Zelinka3n = 9Burylov took 6 of 9
S5Burylov0Zelinka3n = 3Zelinka took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBurylovZelinkaB − ZBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.639.5+3.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBurylovZelinkaBasisWin rate · lifetime191 / 381 vs 195 / 37250.1%52.4%191 / 381 vs 195 / 372Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.739.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BurylovBurylov 1.80/Zelinka 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Burylov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zelinka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 07:45V. Burylov—1314111082M. Zelinka—1512912113
WAug 28 · 06:45V. Burylov—11118113M. Zelinka—591161
LMay 9 · 08:33V. Burylov—11981292M. Zelinka—8111110113
WMay 9 · 05:30V. Burylov—11611113M. Zelinka—611761
WMar 4 · 21:48V. Burylov—11119113M. Zelinka—871191
LMar 4 · 18:15V. Burylov—961111102M. Zelinka—111183123
WFeb 4 · 19:15V. Burylov—61112113M. Zelinka—1181081
LNov 10 · 14:45V. Burylov—8119111M. Zelinka—11811133
WNov 5 · 18:00V. Burylov—1111113M. Zelinka—7670
LNov 5 · 15:15V. Burylov—1012991M. Zelinka—121011113
V. Burylov10
WSep 6 · 17:00V. Burylov1.831111113D. Gasparovic1.838860WSep 6 · 15:45J. Chalupa1.80111011992V. Burylov1.91812911113WSep 6 · 14:45D. Gasparovic1.73136128112V. Burylov2.0011111011133LSep 6 · 13:15S. Rejent1.91691111153V. Burylov1.80111168132WSep 4 · 20:23V. Burylov1.7311911113A. Snr2.00611891WSep 4 · 19:45J. Sr1.9111117662V. Burylov1.80531111113LSep 4 · 18:45D. Gasparovic1.73111110143V. Burylov2.006912121LSep 4 · 12:29M. Makara2.101211113V. Burylov1.6710940LSep 4 · 11:30V. Burylov1.80991181M. Kocvara1.9111113113WSep 4 · 10:30V. Burylov1.611171114113M. Makara2.2061171692
M. Zelinka10
LSep 7 · 06:45L. Veigl2.3811611113M. Zelinka1.53911951LSep 7 · 05:15P. Wasik1.531110117113M. Zelinka2.3831281182LSep 5 · 09:00L. Veigl2.2012611113M. Zelinka1.611011971WSep 5 · 07:15M. Zelinka2.001171312123D. Gasparovic1.739111114102LSep 5 · 06:15M. Zelinka1.50811881L. Veigl2.5011911113WSep 5 · 05:15M. Zelinka1.83611911113J. Chalupa1.8311811992LAug 30 · 08:28M. Zelinka1.73761181R. Pisa2.0011115113WAug 30 · 06:45R. Pisa2.00111011992M. Zelinka1.73612411113LAug 30 · 05:15T. Liska2.1011119113M. Zelinka1.67891181WAug 28 · 16:19J. Sr2.02100M. Zelinka1.70121
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M. Zelinka
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