TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088673
Played Sep 7Finished
Petr Wasik
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1131012118711118
Matus Zelinka
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:15 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timePetr Wasik to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Wasik above · Matus Zelinka below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 92 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Petr Wasik at 61.2%
92 points played in total.
H2H Petr Wasik 8–5 Matus Zelinka Matus Zelinka has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:15What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Wasik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-5 in 13
Wasik
Correct
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wasik 1804 vs Zelinka 1707
Wasik
Correct
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wasik 60% vs Zelinka 40%
Wasik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wasik 40% vs Zelinka 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wasik +3 · Zelinka -1
Wasik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Wasik)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWasik 1.53 / Zelinka 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Wasik)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13088673
Wasik1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 47 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it81% 34 of 42
Zelinka2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog55% won 34 of 62
Down 0–1, comes back41% 15 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWasik6wins
AwayZelinka4wins
Wasik leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWasik75%3 of 4
AwayZelinka50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wasik4Zelinka6n = 10Zelinka took 6 of 10
S2Wasik6Zelinka4n = 10Wasik took 6 of 10
S3Wasik6Zelinka4n = 10Wasik took 6 of 10
S4Wasik5Zelinka3n = 8Wasik took 5 of 8
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWasikZelinkaW − ZBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.534.2+2.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWasikZelinkaBasisWin rate · lifetime76 / 125 vs 197 / 37660.8%52.4%76 / 125 vs 197 / 376Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.139.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WasikWasik 1.53/Zelinka 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
Wasik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Wasik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 07:15P. Wasik—11911113M. Zelinka—311921
LApr 22 · 09:15P. Wasik—9840M. Zelinka—1111113
WMar 31 · 12:13P. Wasik—1111113M. Zelinka—8470
WMar 31 · 11:15P. Wasik—41111113M. Zelinka—115861
WMar 25 · 16:15P. Wasik—11118113M. Zelinka—981191
LMar 11 · 17:43P. Wasik—812561M. Zelinka—111011113
LMar 11 · 15:15P. Wasik—116981M. Zelinka—61111113
WFeb 5 · 13:11P. Wasik—121311113M. Zelinka—1411971
WFeb 5 · 12:15P. Wasik—51311113M. Zelinka—1111781
LJan 18 · 20:45P. Wasik—9911101M. Zelinka—11114123
P. Wasik10
LSep 7 · 06:15P. Wasik1.531410981L. Heinzl2.38121211113WAug 28 · 08:53V. Burylov2.3810960P. Wasik1.531211113WAug 28 · 07:15P. Wasik1.6111911113M. Zelinka2.20311921WAug 28 · 06:15P. Wasik1.8311711113L. Dobias1.83711681LAug 28 · 05:15P. Wasik1.44910110V. Burylov2.631112133LAug 26 · 12:13L. Dobias1.91911712113P. Wasik1.80115111062LAug 26 · 11:15P. Wasik1.441191271M. Kocvara2.6361114113LAug 26 · 10:15P. Wasik1.53711881L. Heinzl2.3811811113LAug 26 · 09:15P. Wasik1.808880L. Dobias1.911111113LAug 21 · 12:23L. Dobias1.808111011113P. Wasik1.9111612862
M. Zelinka10
LSep 5 · 09:00L. Veigl2.2012611113M. Zelinka1.611011971WSep 5 · 07:15M. Zelinka2.001171312123D. Gasparovic1.739111114102LSep 5 · 06:15M. Zelinka1.50811881L. Veigl2.5011911113WSep 5 · 05:15M. Zelinka1.83611911113J. Chalupa1.8311811992LAug 30 · 08:28M. Zelinka1.73761181R. Pisa2.0011115113WAug 30 · 07:45V. Burylov1.801314111082M. Zelinka1.911512912113WAug 30 · 06:45R. Pisa2.00111011992M. Zelinka1.73612411113LAug 30 · 05:15T. Liska2.1011119113M. Zelinka1.67891181WAug 28 · 16:19J. Sr2.02100M. Zelinka1.70121LAug 28 · 07:15P. Wasik1.6111911113M. Zelinka2.20311921
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