TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031570
Played Aug 28Finished
Petr Wasik
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
113911119112––
Matus Zelinka
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:13 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timePetr Wasik to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Wasik above · Matus Zelinka below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 67 set 4, 11-2 — our read held Petr Wasik at 59.3%
67 points played in total.
H2H Petr Wasik 8–5 Matus Zelinka Matus Zelinka has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:13What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Wasik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-5 in 13
Wasik
Correct
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wasik 1804 vs Zelinka 1694
Wasik
Correct
both rated, 110 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wasik 20% vs Zelinka 40%
Zelinka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wasik 30% vs Zelinka 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wasik +1 · Zelinka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Wasik) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wasik form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWasik 1.61 / Zelinka 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Wasik)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13031570
Wasik1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 49 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it96% 23 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it81% 35 of 43
Zelinka2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog56% won 35 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back42% 16 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWasik6wins
AwayZelinka4wins
Wasik leads 6–4.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWasik75%3 of 4
AwayZelinka50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wasik4Zelinka6n = 10Zelinka took 6 of 10
S2Wasik6Zelinka4n = 10Wasik took 6 of 10
S3Wasik6Zelinka4n = 10Wasik took 6 of 10
S4Wasik5Zelinka3n = 8Wasik took 5 of 8
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWasikZelinkaW − ZBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.534.2+2.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWasikZelinkaBasisWin rate · lifetime76 / 125 vs 195 / 37260.8%52.4%76 / 125 vs 195 / 372Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.139.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WasikWasik 1.61/Zelinka 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Wasik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Wasik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 07:15P. Wasik—11911113M. Zelinka—311921
LApr 22 · 09:15P. Wasik—9840M. Zelinka—1111113
WMar 31 · 12:13P. Wasik—1111113M. Zelinka—8470
WMar 31 · 11:15P. Wasik—41111113M. Zelinka—115861
WMar 25 · 16:15P. Wasik—11118113M. Zelinka—981191
LMar 11 · 17:43P. Wasik—812561M. Zelinka—111011113
LMar 11 · 15:15P. Wasik—116981M. Zelinka—61111113
WFeb 5 · 13:11P. Wasik—121311113M. Zelinka—1411971
WFeb 5 · 12:15P. Wasik—51311113M. Zelinka—1111781
LJan 18 · 20:45P. Wasik—9911101M. Zelinka—11114123
P. Wasik10
WSep 7 · 07:15P. Wasik1.611211113L. Veigl2.2010850LSep 7 · 06:15P. Wasik1.531410981L. Heinzl2.38121211113WSep 7 · 05:15P. Wasik1.531110117113M. Zelinka2.3831281182WAug 28 · 08:53V. Burylov2.3810960P. Wasik1.531211113WAug 28 · 06:15P. Wasik1.8311711113L. Dobias1.83711681LAug 28 · 05:15P. Wasik1.44910110V. Burylov2.631112133LAug 26 · 12:13L. Dobias1.91911712113P. Wasik1.80115111062LAug 26 · 11:15P. Wasik1.441191271M. Kocvara2.6361114113LAug 26 · 10:15P. Wasik1.53711881L. Heinzl2.3811811113LAug 26 · 09:15P. Wasik1.808880L. Dobias1.911111113
M. Zelinka10
WSep 7 · 07:45L. Heinzl1.83551691M. Zelinka1.83111114113LSep 7 · 06:45L. Veigl2.3811611113M. Zelinka1.53911951LSep 7 · 05:15P. Wasik1.531110117113M. Zelinka2.3831281182LSep 5 · 09:00L. Veigl2.2012611113M. Zelinka1.611011971WSep 5 · 07:15M. Zelinka2.001171312123D. Gasparovic1.739111114102LSep 5 · 06:15M. Zelinka1.50811881L. Veigl2.5011911113WSep 5 · 05:15M. Zelinka1.83611911113J. Chalupa1.8311811992LAug 30 · 08:28M. Zelinka1.73761181R. Pisa2.0011115113WAug 30 · 07:45V. Burylov1.801314111082M. Zelinka1.911512912113WAug 30 · 06:45R. Pisa2.00111011992M. Zelinka1.73612411113
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