TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079194
Played Sep 5Finished
Matus Zelinka
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811119811811––
Lukas Veigl
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:35 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeMatus Zelinka to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMatus Zelinka above · Lukas Veigl below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 77 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Matus Zelinka at 64.1%
77 points played in total.
H2H Matus Zelinka 20–11 Lukas Veigl Lukas Veigl has won 11 of their 31 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:35What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Zelinka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-11 in 31
Zelinka
Wrong
gap of 9 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zelinka 1699 vs Veigl 1676
Zelinka
Wrong
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zelinka 60% vs Veigl 40%
Zelinka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zelinka 60% vs Veigl 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zelinka +1 · Veigl -3
Veigl
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Zelinka) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZelinka 1.50 / Veigl 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Zelinka)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13079194
Zelinka1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 69 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it86% 25 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it75% 44 of 59
Veigl2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 35 of 92
Down 0–1, comes back17% 9 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZelinka5wins
AwayVeigl5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZelinka83.3%5 of 6
AwayVeigl100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zelinka6Veigl4n = 10Zelinka took 6 of 10
S2Zelinka6Veigl4n = 10Zelinka took 6 of 10
S3Zelinka5Veigl5n = 10split evenly
S4Zelinka2Veigl6n = 8Veigl took 6 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZelinkaVeiglZ − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.136.9+2.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZelinkaVeiglBasisWin rate · lifetime197 / 377 vs 274 / 52752.3%52%197 / 377 vs 274 / 527Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.940.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZelinkaZelinka 1.50/Veigl 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.9%
Zelinka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Veigl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 09:00M. Zelinka—1011971L. Veigl—12611113
LSep 5 · 06:15M. Zelinka—811881L. Veigl—11911113
WJun 12 · 20:00M. Zelinka—11117133L. Veigl—8911111
WMay 13 · 13:45M. Zelinka—1111119113L. Veigl—81371132
WMay 10 · 10:15M. Zelinka—1112113L. Veigl—21070
LApr 26 · 16:00M. Zelinka—8131161L. Veigl—11157113
WApr 25 · 10:30M. Zelinka—1115113L. Veigl—71390
LApr 18 · 20:55M. Zelinka—117791L. Veigl—71111113
LApr 18 · 19:45M. Zelinka—10119101L. Veigl—12911123
WApr 15 · 19:45M. Zelinka—11811113L. Veigl—711751
M. Zelinka10
LSep 7 · 05:15P. Wasik1.531110117113M. Zelinka2.3831281182LSep 5 · 09:00L. Veigl2.2012611113M. Zelinka1.611011971WSep 5 · 07:15M. Zelinka2.001171312123D. Gasparovic1.739111114102WSep 5 · 05:15M. Zelinka1.83611911113J. Chalupa1.8311811992LAug 30 · 08:28M. Zelinka1.73761181R. Pisa2.0011115113WAug 30 · 07:45V. Burylov1.801314111082M. Zelinka1.911512912113WAug 30 · 06:45R. Pisa2.00111011992M. Zelinka1.73612411113LAug 30 · 05:15T. Liska2.1011119113M. Zelinka1.67891181WAug 28 · 16:19J. Sr2.02100M. Zelinka1.70121LAug 28 · 15:15M. Zelinka1.832660L. Heinzl1.831111113
L. Veigl10
WSep 7 · 05:45L. Veigl2.50111111113L. Heinzl1.50781361WSep 5 · 20:13J. Senk2.10411491L. Veigl1.6711711113LSep 5 · 19:15L. Veigl1.53114115142O. Mezera2.38611511153WSep 5 · 18:15L. Veigl1.801111113J. Senk1.917890LSep 5 · 17:15L. Veigl2.25911691J. Sr1.5711511113WSep 5 · 09:00L. Veigl2.2012611113M. Zelinka1.611011971WSep 5 · 07:45L. Veigl2.10311811113J. Chalupa1.6711911982LSep 5 · 05:45D. Gasparovic1.361111113L. Veigl3.003930LJul 31 · 08:44O. Kaderabek2.1061111113L. Veigl1.67119881LJul 31 · 07:15L. Veigl2.20711161032L. Dobias1.611131412113
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