TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13043876
Played Aug 30Finished
Tomas Liska
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118119911118––
Matus Zelinka
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:46 and never touched — 60.2% is still 60.2%
Graded at full timeMatus Zelinka to win
60.2%
60.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Liska above · Matus Zelinka below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 78 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Matus Zelinka at 60.2%
78 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Liska 2–5 Matus Zelinka Tomas Liska has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:46What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Zelinka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-5 in 7
Zelinka
Wrong
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Liska 1582 vs Zelinka 1709
Zelinka
Wrong
both rated, 127 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Liska 40% vs Zelinka 60%
Zelinka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Liska 50% vs Zelinka 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Liska +1 · Zelinka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Zelinka)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLiska 2.10 / Zelinka 1.67
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Zelinka)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13043876
Liska2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 99 of 246
Down 0–1, comes back18% 25 of 137
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 57
Zelinka1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite52% won 72 of 138
Up 2–0, closes it81% 26 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it72% 47 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeLiska2wins
AwayZelinka5wins
3 of 7 to a deciderZelinka leads 5–2, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLiska66.7%2 of 3
AwayZelinka100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Liska3Zelinka4n = 7Zelinka took 4 of 7
S2Liska3Zelinka4n = 7Zelinka took 4 of 7
S3Liska4Zelinka3n = 7Liska took 4 of 7
S4Liska4Zelinka3n = 7Liska took 4 of 7
S5Liska0Zelinka3n = 3Zelinka took 3 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away343%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricLiskaZelinkaL − ZBasisWins25−3in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match42.744.4−1.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLiskaZelinkaBasisWin rate · lifetime401 / 874 vs 195 / 37245.9%52.4%401 / 874 vs 195 / 372Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.339.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZelinkaLiska 2.10/Zelinka 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.2%
Zelinka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Liska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 8 · 19:15T. Liska—71210111M. Zelinka—111012133
LMay 9 · 07:30T. Liska—511115112M. Zelinka—115811133
LJan 28 · 09:39T. Liska—1111101172M. Zelinka—713129113
WJan 28 · 08:30T. Liska—11811133M. Zelinka—7119111
LApr 26 · 07:45T. Liska—98141322M. Zelinka—11111211113
LApr 6 · 05:45T. Liska—691191M. Zelinka—11116113
WMar 5 · 15:45T. Liska—11119113M. Zelinka—931191
T. Liska10
LSep 4 · 08:48T. Liska1.91911981M. Vyskocil1.8011811113WSep 4 · 07:45M. Vyskocil1.73101090T. Liska2.001212113WSep 4 · 06:45J. Senk2.207990T. Liska1.611111113WSep 4 · 05:15P. Fencl1.8011111010102T. Liska1.91761212123LSep 3 · 20:43T. Liska1.919101161M. Vyskocil1.8011126113WSep 3 · 19:45T. Liska2.201111113R. Pisa1.617990WSep 3 · 18:15M. Vyskocil1.67117117112T. Liska2.10711811133WSep 3 · 17:45A. Snr1.83119561T. Liska1.8371111113WSep 1 · 12:23T. Liska1.5391111123A. Radkovsky2.381176101LSep 1 · 11:45L. Rulc1.67121189123T. Liska2.101041111102
M. Zelinka10
LSep 7 · 06:45L. Veigl2.3811611113M. Zelinka1.53911951LSep 7 · 05:15P. Wasik1.531110117113M. Zelinka2.3831281182LSep 5 · 09:00L. Veigl2.2012611113M. Zelinka1.611011971WSep 5 · 07:15M. Zelinka2.001171312123D. Gasparovic1.739111114102LSep 5 · 06:15M. Zelinka1.50811881L. Veigl2.5011911113WSep 5 · 05:15M. Zelinka1.83611911113J. Chalupa1.8311811992LAug 30 · 08:28M. Zelinka1.73761181R. Pisa2.0011115113WAug 30 · 07:45V. Burylov1.801314111082M. Zelinka1.911512912113WAug 30 · 06:45R. Pisa2.00111011992M. Zelinka1.73612411113WAug 28 · 16:19J. Sr2.02100M. Zelinka1.70121
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M. Zelinka
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