TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13037024
Played Aug 28Finished
Jan Krames Sr
Home
2.02
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 1
Set by set
1012––––––––
Matus Zelinka
Away
1.70
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingJan Krames Sr above · Matus Zelinka below
Set 1 · 10-12
Point 22 set 1, 10-12
22 points played in total.
H2H Jan Krames Sr 16–17 Matus Zelinka Jan Krames Sr has won 16 of their 33 meetings.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Zelinka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zelinka form (40%) is below what odds imply (59%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSr 2.02 / Zelinka 1.70
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Zelinka)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13037024
Sr2.02
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog49% won 51 of 105
Down 0–1, comes back28% 15 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 25
Zelinka1.70
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite53% won 73 of 139
Up 2–0, closes it82% 27 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it73% 48 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSr4wins
AwayZelinka6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZelinka leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSr75%3 of 4
AwayZelinka83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sr4Zelinka6n = 10Zelinka took 6 of 10
S2Sr4Zelinka6n = 10Zelinka took 6 of 10
S3Sr8Zelinka2n = 10Sr took 8 of 10
S4Sr4Zelinka3n = 7Sr took 4 of 7
S5Sr0Zelinka3n = 3Zelinka took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSrZelinkaS − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.638.3−0.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSrZelinkaBasisWin rate · lifetime389 / 699 vs 194 / 37155.7%52.3%389 / 699 vs 194 / 371Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.839.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZelinkaSr 2.02/Zelinka 1.70
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.1%
Zelinka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–1
Zelinka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 7 · 16:45J. Sr—411891M. Zelinka—11311113
LAug 7 · 15:45J. Sr—77100M. Zelinka—1111123
WMay 3 · 17:15J. Sr—12411113M. Zelinka—1011181
WApr 26 · 14:30J. Sr—71111123M. Zelinka—1158101
LApr 18 · 17:15J. Sr—811161182M. Zelinka—1113148113
LMar 9 · 18:30J. Sr—11712682M. Zelinka—5111011113
WMar 8 · 18:15J. Sr—1211113M. Zelinka—10990
WMar 2 · 18:15J. Sr—1111113M. Zelinka—9670
LFeb 22 · 18:15J. Sr—713111142M. Zelinka—111597113
LJan 16 · 20:15J. Sr—6311101M. Zelinka—11117123
J. Sr10
WSep 6 · 12:54J. Sr1.611311113L. Adam2.2011760WSep 6 · 11:45J. Sr1.40111112113M. Kocvara2.75761481WSep 6 · 10:15O. Mezera2.751112461J. Sr1.4091411113WSep 6 · 09:45L. Adam2.104760J. Sr1.671111113WSep 5 · 20:44J. Sr1.331111113O. Mezera3.251440WSep 5 · 19:45J. Senk2.755820J. Sr1.401111113LSep 5 · 18:45O. Mezera3.00121476123J. Sr1.3610121111102WSep 5 · 17:15L. Veigl2.25911691J. Sr1.5711511113WSep 4 · 20:53J. Sr1.7311118113D. Gasparovic2.00761121LSep 4 · 19:45J. Sr1.9111117662V. Burylov1.80531111113
M. Zelinka10
LSep 7 · 06:45L. Veigl2.3811611113M. Zelinka1.53911951LSep 7 · 05:15P. Wasik1.531110117113M. Zelinka2.3831281182LSep 5 · 09:00L. Veigl2.2012611113M. Zelinka1.611011971WSep 5 · 07:15M. Zelinka2.001171312123D. Gasparovic1.739111114102LSep 5 · 06:15M. Zelinka1.50811881L. Veigl2.5011911113WSep 5 · 05:15M. Zelinka1.83611911113J. Chalupa1.8311811992LAug 30 · 08:28M. Zelinka1.73761181R. Pisa2.0011115113WAug 30 · 07:45V. Burylov1.801314111082M. Zelinka1.911512912113WAug 30 · 06:45R. Pisa2.00111011992M. Zelinka1.73612411113LAug 30 · 05:15T. Liska2.1011119113M. Zelinka1.67891181
Upcoming Matches
J. Sr
Nothing scheduled
M. Zelinka
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