TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13078896
Played Sep 5Finished
Matus Zelinka
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
119711131112141210
David Gasparovic
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDavid Gasparovic to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMatus Zelinka above · David Gasparovic below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 12-14
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 110 set 5, 12-10 — our read held David Gasparovic at 54.0%
110 points played in total.
H2H Matus Zelinka 3–1 David Gasparovic David Gasparovic has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:27What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Gasparovic
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Zelinka
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zelinka 1699 vs Gasparovic 1679
Zelinka
Correct
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zelinka 60% vs Gasparovic 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zelinka 50% vs Gasparovic 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zelinka -1 · Gasparovic -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Gasparovic)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZelinka 2.00 / Gasparovic 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Gasparovic)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13078896
Zelinka2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog55% won 34 of 62
Down 0–1, comes back41% 15 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Gasparovic1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 54 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it83% 20 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it75% 36 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeZelinka3wins
AwayGasparovic1wins
4 of 4 to a deciderZelinka leads 3–1, and 4 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zelinka2Gasparovic2n = 4split evenly
S2Zelinka3Gasparovic1n = 4Zelinka took 3 of 4
S3Zelinka2Gasparovic2n = 4split evenly
S4Zelinka1Gasparovic3n = 4Gasparovic took 3 of 4
S5Zelinka3Gasparovic1n = 4Zelinka took 3 of 4
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home375%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricZelinkaGasparovicZ − GBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match50.844.8+6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZelinkaGasparovicBasisWin rate · lifetime197 / 377 vs 101 / 16952.3%59.8%197 / 377 vs 101 / 169Avg sets wonper match2.12.3per matchAvg pointsper match39.940.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GasparovicZelinka 2.00/Gasparovic 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Gasparovic · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zelinka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 5 · 07:15M. Zelinka—1171312123D. Gasparovic—9111114102
LAug 28 · 13:15M. Zelinka—311131152D. Gasparovic—115157113
WApr 19 · 07:15M. Zelinka—1111612113D. Gasparovic—41111492
WJan 16 · 19:45M. Zelinka—1211119113D. Gasparovic—14421152
M. Zelinka10
LSep 7 · 06:45L. Veigl2.3811611113M. Zelinka1.53911951LSep 7 · 05:15P. Wasik1.531110117113M. Zelinka2.3831281182LSep 5 · 09:00L. Veigl2.2012611113M. Zelinka1.611011971LSep 5 · 06:15M. Zelinka1.50811881L. Veigl2.5011911113WSep 5 · 05:15M. Zelinka1.83611911113J. Chalupa1.8311811992LAug 30 · 08:28M. Zelinka1.73761181R. Pisa2.0011115113WAug 30 · 07:45V. Burylov1.801314111082M. Zelinka1.911512912113WAug 30 · 06:45R. Pisa2.00111011992M. Zelinka1.73612411113LAug 30 · 05:15T. Liska2.1011119113M. Zelinka1.67891181WAug 28 · 16:19J. Sr2.02100M. Zelinka1.70121
D. Gasparovic10
LSep 6 · 17:00V. Burylov1.831111113D. Gasparovic1.838860WSep 6 · 15:15S. Rejent2.63511951D. Gasparovic1.4411611113LSep 6 · 14:45D. Gasparovic1.73136128112V. Burylov2.0011111011133WSep 6 · 13:45D. Gasparovic2.1081111113J. Chalupa1.67116791LSep 5 · 08:29J. Chalupa1.61121211133D. Gasparovic2.20101013111LSep 5 · 06:45D. Gasparovic2.20911521J. Chalupa1.6111711113WSep 5 · 05:45D. Gasparovic1.361111113L. Veigl3.003930LSep 4 · 20:53J. Sr1.7311118113D. Gasparovic2.00761121WSep 4 · 19:15A. Snr2.50751191D. Gasparovic1.5011117113WSep 4 · 18:45D. Gasparovic1.73111110143V. Burylov2.006912121
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