TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13081668
Played Sep 5Finished
Josef Chalupa
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210121011131311––
David Gasparovic
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingJosef Chalupa above · David Gasparovic below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 92 set 4, 13-11
92 points played in total.
H2H Josef Chalupa 2–0 David Gasparovic David Gasparovic has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Chalupa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chalupa form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChalupa 1.61 / Gasparovic 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Chalupa)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13081668
Chalupa1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 55 of 94
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it78% 32 of 41
Gasparovic2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog71% won 10 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeChalupa2wins
AwayGasparovic0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderChalupa leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricChalupaGasparovicC − GBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match41.536.0+5.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChalupaGasparovicBasisWin rate · lifetime205 / 367 vs 99 / 16455.9%60.4%205 / 367 vs 99 / 164Avg sets wonper match2.32.3per matchAvg pointsper match40.140.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChalupaChalupa 1.61/Gasparovic 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Chalupa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Chalupa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 5 · 06:45J. Chalupa—11711113D. Gasparovic—911521
WMay 29 · 19:30J. Chalupa—511511113D. Gasparovic—11911682
J. Chalupa10
WSep 6 · 16:29J. Chalupa1.4411812113S. Rejent2.638111071LSep 6 · 15:45J. Chalupa1.80111011992V. Burylov1.91812911113WSep 6 · 14:15S. Rejent2.634130J. Chalupa1.441111113LSep 6 · 13:45D. Gasparovic2.1081111113J. Chalupa1.67116791LSep 5 · 07:45L. Veigl2.10311811113J. Chalupa1.6711911982WSep 5 · 06:45D. Gasparovic2.20911521J. Chalupa1.6111711113LSep 5 · 05:15M. Zelinka1.83611911113J. Chalupa1.8311811992LAug 23 · 13:05J. Chalupa1.831271291L. Heinzl1.83101114113LAug 23 · 12:00L. Heinzl1.8311712133J. Chalupa1.8341110111WAug 23 · 11:00J. Sr1.8313121111102J. Chalupa1.831510136123
D. Gasparovic10
LSep 6 · 17:00V. Burylov1.831111113D. Gasparovic1.838860WSep 6 · 15:15S. Rejent2.63511951D. Gasparovic1.4411611113LSep 6 · 14:45D. Gasparovic1.73136128112V. Burylov2.0011111011133WSep 6 · 13:45D. Gasparovic2.1081111113J. Chalupa1.67116791LSep 5 · 07:15M. Zelinka2.001171312123D. Gasparovic1.739111114102LSep 5 · 06:45D. Gasparovic2.20911521J. Chalupa1.6111711113WSep 5 · 05:45D. Gasparovic1.361111113L. Veigl3.003930LSep 4 · 20:53J. Sr1.7311118113D. Gasparovic2.00761121WSep 4 · 19:15A. Snr2.50751191D. Gasparovic1.5011117113WSep 4 · 18:45D. Gasparovic1.73111110143V. Burylov2.006912121
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