TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12477658
Played Aug 23Finished
Jan Krames Sr
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1315121011131161012
Josef Chalupa
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:07 and never touched — 60.0% is still 60.0%
Graded at full timeJosef Chalupa to win
60.0%
60.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
113 points played in total.
Set by set
1315121011131161012
H2H Jan Krames Sr 18–19 Josef Chalupa Jan Krames Sr has won 18 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:07What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Chalupa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-19 in 37
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sr 1655 vs Chalupa 1816
Chalupa
Correct
both rated, 161 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sr 40% vs Chalupa 20%
Sr
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sr 30% vs Chalupa 60%
Chalupa
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sr +1 · Chalupa +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Chalupa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chalupa form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSr 1.83 / Chalupa 1.83
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Chalupa)+10.0pp
Setka Cup · #12477658
Sr1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Chalupa1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSr4wins
AwayChalupa6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderChalupa leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSr60%3 of 5
AwayChalupa80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sr5Chalupa5n = 10split evenly
S2Sr7Chalupa3n = 10Sr took 7 of 10
S3Sr1Chalupa9n = 10Chalupa took 9 of 10
S4Sr5Chalupa3n = 8Sr took 5 of 8
S5Sr2Chalupa3n = 5Chalupa took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSrChalupaS − CBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.040.5−1.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSrChalupaBasisWin rate · lifetime395 / 707 vs 205 / 36855.9%55.7%395 / 707 vs 205 / 368Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.840.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChalupaSr 1.83/Chalupa 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60%
Chalupa · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Chalupa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 22 · 19:45J. Sr—95100J. Chalupa—1111123
WJul 12 · 16:48J. Sr—11114113J. Chalupa—491141
LJul 12 · 13:15J. Sr—11971192J. Chalupa—511117113
WJul 11 · 11:15J. Sr—1111113J. Chalupa—8660
LJul 1 · 19:15J. Sr—1117111J. Chalupa—11911133
WJun 30 · 19:15J. Sr—413511113J. Chalupa—111111962
LMay 26 · 18:30J. Sr—113791J. Chalupa—91111113
LMay 11 · 17:45J. Sr—6111811102J. Chalupa—116203123
LApr 28 · 17:45J. Sr—31151172J. Chalupa—117116113
WApr 14 · 18:15J. Sr—1111109113J. Chalupa—87121182
J. Sr10
WSep 6 · 12:54J. Sr1.611311113L. Adam2.2011760WSep 6 · 11:45J. Sr1.40111112113M. Kocvara2.75761481WSep 6 · 10:15O. Mezera2.751112461J. Sr1.4091411113WSep 6 · 09:45L. Adam2.104760J. Sr1.671111113WSep 5 · 20:44J. Sr1.331111113O. Mezera3.251440WSep 5 · 19:45J. Senk2.755820J. Sr1.401111113LSep 5 · 18:45O. Mezera3.00121476123J. Sr1.3610121111102WSep 5 · 17:15L. Veigl2.25911691J. Sr1.5711511113WSep 4 · 20:53J. Sr1.7311118113D. Gasparovic2.00761121LSep 4 · 19:45J. Sr1.9111117662V. Burylov1.80531111113
J. Chalupa10
WSep 6 · 16:29J. Chalupa1.4411812113S. Rejent2.638111071LSep 6 · 15:45J. Chalupa1.80111011992V. Burylov1.91812911113WSep 6 · 14:15S. Rejent2.634130J. Chalupa1.441111113LSep 6 · 13:45D. Gasparovic2.1081111113J. Chalupa1.67116791WSep 5 · 08:29J. Chalupa1.61121211133D. Gasparovic2.20101013111LSep 5 · 07:45L. Veigl2.10311811113J. Chalupa1.6711911982WSep 5 · 06:45D. Gasparovic2.20911521J. Chalupa1.6111711113LSep 5 · 05:15M. Zelinka1.83611911113J. Chalupa1.8311811992LAug 23 · 13:05J. Chalupa1.831271291L. Heinzl1.83101114113LAug 23 · 12:00L. Heinzl1.8311712133J. Chalupa1.8341110111
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