Josef Chalupa vs Lukas Heinzl 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #12480478

Played Aug 23Finished

Josef Chalupa

Home

1.83

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

12107111214911––

Lukas Heinzl

Away

1.83

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Won last 2

How it is goingJosef Chalupa above · Lukas Heinzl below

Set 1 · 12-10

Set 2 · 7-11

Set 3 · 12-14

Set 4 · 9-11

Point 86 set 4, 9-11

86 points played in total.

H2H Josef Chalupa 21–19 Lukas Heinzl Lukas Heinzl has won 19 of their 40 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Chalupa)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Heinzl form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsChalupa 1.83 / Heinzl 1.83

Signal prob.56% / 44%

Edge (Chalupa)+6.0pp

Setka Cup · #12480478

Chalupa1.83

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

Heinzl1.83

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeChalupa5wins

AwayHeinzl5wins

3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeChalupa80%4 of 5

AwayHeinzl80%4 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Chalupa5Heinzl5n = 10split evenly

S2Chalupa3Heinzl7n = 10Heinzl took 7 of 10

S3Chalupa7Heinzl3n = 10Chalupa took 7 of 10

S4Chalupa1Heinzl4n = 5Heinzl took 4 of 5

S5Chalupa2Heinzl1n = 3Chalupa took 2 of 3

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away330%

These 10 meetings

MetricChalupaHeinzlC − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.835.5+1.3per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricChalupaHeinzlBasisWin rate · lifetime205 / 368 vs 347 / 63355.7%54.8%205 / 368 vs 347 / 633Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.039.9per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Chalupa

Chalupa 1.83/Heinzl 1.83

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

56%

Chalupa · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Heinzl won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LAug 16 · 08:48J. Chalupa—691161L. Heinzl—11116113

WAug 16 · 06:45J. Chalupa—1111123L. Heinzl—97100

LMay 29 · 21:18J. Chalupa—9990L. Heinzl—1111113

WMay 29 · 18:30J. Chalupa—12111111123L. Heinzl—147713102

WMay 13 · 20:23J. Chalupa—111111123L. Heinzl—7133101

LMay 13 · 19:15J. Chalupa—8980L. Heinzl—1111113

WApr 4 · 08:43J. Chalupa—1111113L. Heinzl—7950

LApr 4 · 07:45J. Chalupa—7850L. Heinzl—1111113

WMar 9 · 06:45J. Chalupa—1110117113L. Heinzl—51241172

LJan 26 · 06:45J. Chalupa—11911862L. Heinzl—811611113

J. Chalupa10

WSep 6 · 16:29J. Chalupa1.4411812113S. Rejent2.638111071 LSep 6 · 15:45J. Chalupa1.80111011992V. Burylov1.91812911113 WSep 6 · 14:15S. Rejent2.634130J. Chalupa1.441111113 LSep 6 · 13:45D. Gasparovic2.1081111113J. Chalupa1.67116791 WSep 5 · 08:29J. Chalupa1.61121211133D. Gasparovic2.20101013111 LSep 5 · 07:45L. Veigl2.10311811113J. Chalupa1.6711911982 WSep 5 · 06:45D. Gasparovic2.20911521J. Chalupa1.6111711113 LSep 5 · 05:15M. Zelinka1.83611911113J. Chalupa1.8311811992 LAug 23 · 12:00L. Heinzl1.8311712133J. Chalupa1.8341110111 WAug 23 · 11:00J. Sr1.8313121111102J. Chalupa1.831510136123

L. Heinzl10

LSep 7 · 07:45L. Heinzl1.83551691M. Zelinka1.83111114113 WSep 7 · 06:15P. Wasik1.531410981L. Heinzl2.38121211113 LSep 7 · 05:45L. Veigl2.50111111113L. Heinzl1.50781361 LSep 3 · 08:14L. Heinzl1.6781181182M. Makara2.10116113113 LSep 3 · 07:45L. Heinzl1.7381380M. Stibor2.001115113 LSep 3 · 06:15L. Adam2.0091111113L. Heinzl1.73113791 WSep 3 · 05:45M. Makara2.201131191L. Heinzl1.6113119113 WSep 2 · 08:48O. Mezera3.40111140L. Heinzl1.301313113 LSep 2 · 07:15M. Kovarik2.5011911143L. Heinzl1.508119121 WAug 23 · 12:00L. Heinzl1.8311712133J. Chalupa1.8341110111

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