TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13046550
Played Aug 30Finished
Matus Zelinka
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711611115811––
Radovan Pisa
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingMatus Zelinka above · Radovan Pisa below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 70 set 4, 8-11
70 points played in total.
H2H Matus Zelinka 24–17 Radovan Pisa Radovan Pisa has won 17 of their 41 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zelinka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pisa form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZelinka 1.73 / Pisa 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zelinka)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13046550
Zelinka1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite52% won 72 of 138
Up 2–0, closes it81% 26 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it72% 47 of 65
Pisa2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 90 of 198
Down 0–1, comes back29% 31 of 107
Down 0–2, comes back15% 9 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZelinka5wins
AwayPisa5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZelinka66.7%4 of 6
AwayPisa75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zelinka6Pisa4n = 10Zelinka took 6 of 10
S2Zelinka9Pisa1n = 10Zelinka took 9 of 10
S3Zelinka2Pisa8n = 10Pisa took 8 of 10
S4Zelinka4Pisa5n = 9Pisa took 5 of 9
S5Zelinka2Pisa3n = 5Pisa took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZelinkaPisaZ − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.940.6−0.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZelinkaPisaBasisWin rate · lifetime196 / 372 vs 383 / 79552.7%48.2%196 / 372 vs 383 / 795Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.839.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZelinkaZelinka 1.73/Pisa 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Zelinka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pisa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 06:45M. Zelinka—612411113R. Pisa—111011992
WAug 11 · 07:15M. Zelinka—11113113R. Pisa—861181
LAug 10 · 12:48M. Zelinka—111110882R. Pisa—841211113
LAug 10 · 10:45M. Zelinka—961141R. Pisa—11116113
WAug 8 · 17:45M. Zelinka—1115113R. Pisa—71350
LJul 27 · 20:00M. Zelinka—41181272R. Pisa—1191110113
LJun 14 · 07:30M. Zelinka—1011681R. Pisa—12911113
WMay 11 · 10:15M. Zelinka—111177113R. Pisa—75111152
LApr 26 · 16:35M. Zelinka—11115832R. Pisa—77111173
WApr 26 · 14:00M. Zelinka—11119113R. Pisa—791191
M. Zelinka10
LSep 7 · 06:45L. Veigl2.3811611113M. Zelinka1.53911951LSep 7 · 05:15P. Wasik1.531110117113M. Zelinka2.3831281182LSep 5 · 09:00L. Veigl2.2012611113M. Zelinka1.611011971WSep 5 · 07:15M. Zelinka2.001171312123D. Gasparovic1.739111114102LSep 5 · 06:15M. Zelinka1.50811881L. Veigl2.5011911113WSep 5 · 05:15M. Zelinka1.83611911113J. Chalupa1.8311811992WAug 30 · 07:45V. Burylov1.801314111082M. Zelinka1.911512912113WAug 30 · 06:45R. Pisa2.00111011992M. Zelinka1.73612411113LAug 30 · 05:15T. Liska2.1011119113M. Zelinka1.67891181WAug 28 · 16:19J. Sr2.02100M. Zelinka1.70121
R. Pisa10
LSep 3 · 20:14R. Pisa2.008250A. Snr1.731111113LSep 3 · 19:45T. Liska2.201111113R. Pisa1.617990WSep 3 · 18:45A. Snr1.571011731R. Pisa2.2512611113LSep 3 · 17:15M. Vyskocil1.8091112113R. Pisa1.911131011WSep 2 · 20:48R. Pisa1.8311129113M. Ullman1.833101191WSep 2 · 19:45R. Pisa1.7311118113J. Dolezal2.00381181LSep 2 · 18:15M. Ullman1.831191112113R. Pisa1.8391161462WSep 2 · 17:45S. Rejent1.83118571R. Pisa1.8361111113LAug 31 · 08:23L. Heinzl1.67111214113R. Pisa2.108101671LAug 30 · 06:45R. Pisa2.00111011992M. Zelinka1.73612411113
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